Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - Endgame

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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby DoomYoshi on Thu Jan 10, 2013 2:14 pm

aage wrote:
jonty125 wrote:
aage wrote:
jonty125 wrote:
F1fth wrote:It would be nice to hear from Safari, but in the interest of moving things along I'm going to Vote Jonty.


My crime?

Being on the list :roll:


That doesn't distinguish me from the other 5 on the list.

It does. Process of elimination. You haven't claimed yet.

Not my arguments, but probably Doom's.


So, who do you think we should lynch then?

If you, jonty and droz are all cleared, that means we have to lynch saf, right?
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby jonty125 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 3:16 pm

aage wrote:
jonty125 wrote:
aage wrote:
jonty125 wrote:
F1fth wrote:It would be nice to hear from Safari, but in the interest of moving things along I'm going to Vote Jonty.


My crime?

Being on the list :roll:


That doesn't distinguish me from the other 5 on the list.

It does. Process of elimination. You haven't claimed yet.

Not my arguments, but probably Doom's.


I would like to hear this from F1fth, who placed the vote on me.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby gregwolf121 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 7:28 pm

personally id like to hear from soundman, as he seems to be keeping his head down
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby F1fth on Thu Jan 10, 2013 7:37 pm

I'm not sure if you expect any more hard evidence, I'm just moving down the list. It's a concrete resource that gets more helpful the more we narrow it down. We have remaining Safari, strike, DRoZ, aage, soundman, and yourself.

Safari, strike, and DRoZ have practically confirmed their roles, though some doubts may remain about their alignment. Aage has just claimed doc and it seems like we haven't decided what we want to do about that, at least until we have an idea if safari has any info or has been silenced. This leaves you and soundman, and since there are three scum between the six it's not altogether unlikely that you both are scum. Because soundman has gotten more attention due to Safari's investigation, I made an arbitrary decision to vote for you.

So here's my return question, jonty: why not you? To be fair, I think you could make a case to vote soundman before you since he's been lying low recently, but surely you must understand why I voted for you at this point.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby safariguy5 on Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:34 pm

Sorry guys. Got swept up with pineapples and surfing in Hawaii and couldn't get an action in time. I'll investigate someone from the possible list of suspects tonight.

With all these claimed power roles (doc, cop, etc.) is it possible that we may gain more information with a no lynch at this point? I'm a bit hesitant to say that because of the mafia doc, but it probably means we have some sort of third party or SKer around as well. Can't think of many other reasons for a mafia doc unless we have an unusual amount of vigs or something.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby DoomYoshi on Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:43 pm

safariguy5 wrote:Sorry guys. Got swept up with pineapples and surfing in Hawaii and couldn't get an action in time. I'll investigate someone from the possible list of suspects tonight.

With all these claimed power roles (doc, cop, etc.) is it possible that we may gain more information with a no lynch at this point? I'm a bit hesitant to say that because of the mafia doc, but it probably means we have some sort of third party or SKer around as well. Can't think of many other reasons for a mafia doc unless we have an unusual amount of vigs or something.


No. The only information comes from lynching.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby strike wolf on Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:49 pm

I would doubt Sk. The reason being that there just hasn't been enough kills in game to support that possibility. The sheer number of nights without kills and the kills that have been recorded being done by demons (who are all most likely mafia) does not leave the chances of their being an SK very high.

To answer your question Rodion, yes I am leaning towards it being a fake claim.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby soundman on Fri Jan 11, 2013 1:44 am

We could have an SK. I wouldn't rule it out in a game of this size. Probably not very likely though. I feel like there's something off about aage's claim and one of the night scenes. I don't have time right now to go back and look but will do so tomorrow.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby aage on Fri Jan 11, 2013 5:14 am

DoomYoshi wrote:
aage wrote:
jonty125 wrote:
aage wrote:
jonty125 wrote:My crime?

Being on the list :roll:


That doesn't distinguish me from the other 5 on the list.

It does. Process of elimination. You haven't claimed yet.

Not my arguments, but probably Doom's.


So, who do you think we should lynch then?

If you, jonty and droz are all cleared, that means we have to lynch saf, right?

Don't play the fool. I've expressed my suspicions in an earlier post, and yes, I definitely think we should lynch the claimed cop because that's always a brilliant thing to do.

I have you down for town but that doesn't licence you to be an ass about it.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby jonty125 on Fri Jan 11, 2013 10:42 am

F1fth wrote:jonty: why not you?


Now you have illustrated your points, I don't have a problem with your vote on me. What I do have a problem with, voting me to move things along, when you're the first vote on me.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby Rodion on Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:51 am

Ok, I wish to analyse how the suspect pool changes depending on certain variables.

The original pool (4 out of 12):

gregwolf (12) ~ Saf, jonty, soundman, violet, aage, JG, Nag, DRoZ, jak, ??? (Jak or Victor), Strike, Vodean

Post-flips, we have nagerous/Lovo as town, JG as town, Jak as town and Vodean as mafia.

That leaves the new pool (3 out of 8): Saf, Jonty, Soundman, Violet, Aage, Droz, ??? (Jak or Victor), Strike

Scenario 1 - Safari and Strike are to be trusted: Safari cleared Violet and the ??? vote that could have been Victor's. Since we are trusting both Saf and Strike for their actions, the remaining pool is Jonty, Aage, Droz and Soundman (3 out of 4).

Scenario 2 - Only Safari is to be trusted while Strike lied. This is tricky, but it would almost certainly lead us to believe Soundman is mafia while Strike may or may not be a busdriver. By doing what Strike did, he managed to protect a stronger mafia power role while also getting town cred for "correctly" redirecting us for Rishaed. In this scenario, Strike may or may not be a busdriver and he may or may not have tampered with previous Safari investigations.

I'm not going to assume we are in a scenario 2, but if Soundman ends up flipping mafia we need to reevaluate Strike's acquired town cred from directing us away from Sound and into Rishaed.

Scenario 3 - Strike can be trusted while Saf can't. Unlikely, since Saf has a strong claim (although not getting an action in time does raise suspicions). In this case, we need to send Violet and ??? back to the pool, which makes us lose al ot of accuracy.

Scenario 4 - Strike and Saf both lied. Also tricky and unlikely. I'm not going to waste time into that now.

I decided to write these scenarios in order to keep everyone's minds broad. I still believe in scenario 1 (lynch Droz, Aage, Jonty and Soundman until we catch 3 mafia), but if there are 2 town flips among those 4 players we should start being more skeptical (especially if Soundman is not one of the town flips).
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby NoSurvivors on Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:59 am

soundman wrote:We could have an SK. I wouldn't rule it out in a game of this size. Probably not very likely though. I feel like there's something off about aage's claim and one of the night scenes. I don't have time right now to go back and look but will do so tomorrow.


Counting you on your word here. I am very tempted to vote you, I have flagged you as suspicious a long time ago. No post tomorrow ike you said means you are scummarining again in my eyes. Too much of that has happened. And since I belive:

Rodion wrote:Scenario 2 - Only Safari is to be trusted while Strike lied. This is tricky, but it would almost certainly lead us to believe Soundman is mafia while Strike may or may not be a busdriver. By doing what Strike did, he managed to protect a stronger mafia power role while also getting town cred for "correctly" redirecting us for Rishaed. In this scenario, Strike may or may not be a busdriver and he may or may not have tampered with previous Safari investigations.


Soundman being possibly the GF. Strike wants to protect GF from kill so instead leads him to a goon giving himself town cred and a solid backup for at least another day for the GF.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby Rodion on Fri Jan 11, 2013 12:14 pm

About Aage: mafia has been failing their NKs recently and with the "3 mafia out of 4" scenario being the most likely, I wouldn't rule Aage sacrificing himself with a fake doctor claim in order to draw the real doctor out and hopefully stop missing NKs.

I'm not a big fan of having an archangel counterclaim someone that is already 75% likely mafia, but the situation is tricky. We may have:

a) Raphael as the doctor and Aage as scum.
b) Raphael as some JOAT/inventor/bodyguard role and Aage as the doctor.
c) Raphael as some JOAT/inventor/bodyguard role, some dude as the doctor and Aage as scum.

I'm thinking on whether a saint doctor should counterclaim, assuming there is one. If there is no saint doctor counterclaim, Raphael could potentially prevent a mislynch by coming forward and saying he was a JOAT-like dude and not THE doctor. Raphael coming forward + no saint doctor counterclaim would mean Aage speaks the truth, but again I don't know if we should possibly risk some town identities just in case Aage is really town.

I believe the best thing we can do now is force Jonty and Soundman into claiming. That can help us reach a more accurate decision. I do not believe there is the risk of one of them being targeted for a NK if they are a strong town power role, as that would just help us conclude who the remaining mafia are.

Tl;dr: I'd like Jonty and Soundman to claim.
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby DoomYoshi on Fri Jan 11, 2013 12:18 pm

aage wrote:
DoomYoshi wrote:
aage wrote:
jonty125 wrote:
aage wrote:
jonty125 wrote:My crime?

Being on the list :roll:


That doesn't distinguish me from the other 5 on the list.

It does. Process of elimination. You haven't claimed yet.

Not my arguments, but probably Doom's.


So, who do you think we should lynch then?

If you, jonty and droz are all cleared, that means we have to lynch saf, right?

Don't play the fool. I've expressed my suspicions in an earlier post, and yes, I definitely think we should lynch the claimed cop because that's always a brilliant thing to do.

I have you down for town but that doesn't licence you to be an ass about it.


Ok, whether I am an ass or not doesn't change the fact. You have said that droz is town, you have said that jonty is town. You have said that you are town. If all 3 of you are town, this means that saf is scum, so why aren't you voting for him? I may be an ass, but your position is totally ridiculous. I have more questions for you, but I don't even care about your answer. You are scum, and I won't change my vote today.

Question 1: What were the facts that led you to believe that your targets of each night were likely kill targets?

FP'ed by Rodion: I don't see any downfalls to their claims either. Right now, oddly enough, I am leaning towards droz being the clearest of them.

Jonty is obv-scum. Only scum ask what the case on them is so they can defend against it (sad but true).
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Re: Golden Pantheon - Angels and Demons - D6 17/25

Postby aage on Fri Jan 11, 2013 12:39 pm

DoomYoshi wrote:Ok, whether I am an ass or not doesn't change the fact. You have said that droz is town, you have said that jonty is town. You have said that you are town. If all 3 of you are town, this means that saf is scum, so why aren't you voting for him? I may be an ass, but your position is totally ridiculous. I have more questions for you, but I don't even care about your answer. You are scum, and I won't change my vote today.

Question 1: What were the facts that led you to believe that your targets of each night were likely kill targets?
Can you quote the posts for me where I said both were town?
I'm not trying to fit the puzzle here, Saf's and Strike's claim both seem equally legitimate to me. Fitting the puzzle is unnecessary in my opinion, I simply think we should lynch whoever is most scummy. I am not putting my vote anywhere until we have all claims, though. It would be hypocritical of me to do so.

As to your question, I'm a doctor, not an oracle. I protected those I deemed most worthy of protection. These were my choices.
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