AndyDufresne wrote:Cicero makes some excellent points.
No he doesn't. He seems to think winning a game requires only luck, like betting on horse racing. In order to win wagered points, you still have win your game.
I'm not suggesting that to win a game requires only
luck. There is an element of luck in any one game, but over an extended series of games, a player's true skill shows through. Over an extended series of games if a player wins more games than luck alone would suggest then he/she is a better than average player (ignoring 'cheap' methods of obtaining points for the purposes of this thread). If over an extended series of games a player wins less games than luck would suggest then he/she is a weaker than average player. The current ranking system (notwithstanding its flaws which I am ready to acknowledge) reflects this and ranks change accordingly.
The core of the current rankling system mechanism (and this is a part that works well) is that the number of points won and lost in a game are directly related to the apparent relative skill levels of the players concerned. Remove this connection and you break ranking points as a concept.
A rank is by definition intended as an absolute measure of a player's ability. Hence a player of skill X will reach rank X over an extended period of games. Take me as an example. I play typically 6,7 or 8 player games and I win about 1 in 4. Which is better than luck alone would suggest and hence my rank is now pretty much stable at Sergeant 1st Class. That's because I now win about the same number of points in the 1 in 4 games that I win as I lose cumulatively in the other 3 of the 4. And that balance is produced by the current points formula.
As a better than average player if you change that formula and allow me to reap more points for winning my one game than I am due and lose fewer points than I am due in the other three then my points will continue to rise. Which of course it shouldn't because I'm not actually getting any better am I?
The converse is true for weaker than average players: Their ranks will continue to fall even though they not getting any worse.