Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analysis

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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby greenoaks on Mon Jan 21, 2013 11:02 pm

is your data extracted from all forums or just off-topics?

i ask because my tournaments usually contain no other posts when started except mine. they would make me appear more bloodthirsty than i really am.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Neoteny on Mon Jan 21, 2013 11:16 pm

OT only.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby greenoaks on Sat Mar 09, 2013 3:01 am

Neoteny wrote:OT only.

how long does a thread have to go without any posts for the last post to be considered a killer?
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Lootifer on Sat Mar 09, 2013 3:54 am

Haggis_McMutton wrote:
Funkyterrance wrote:I prefer the term "thread winner". Don't we need also a total post count so that we know we aren't just seeing laws of averages? Like, if someone posts more, statistically they will end more threads.


This is already being done. That's why I say "proportion" and "9%".

Y axis shows posts that killed a thread in the last year divided by total posts in the last year.

Nah there's likely an additional bias since the amount of threads is an order of magnitude more limited than the number of posts. I would hazard to guess that there is a correlation between number of posts and the murder proportion.

Also, what does the post count look like for OT? Since the stupid lame-o post counter doesnt count all these little pearls of awesomeness!
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby kentington on Sat Mar 09, 2013 9:11 am

I wish there was a separate shown post count for OT.
What would the numbers look like if you did thread kills to amount of threads posted in?
That way if you have fifty posts in one thread, it won't help your ratio.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Gillipig on Sat Mar 09, 2013 9:19 am

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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Neoteny on Sat Mar 09, 2013 10:04 am

greenoaks wrote:
Neoteny wrote:OT only.

how long does a thread have to go without any posts for the last post to be considered a killer?


I don't think he indicated that specifically. In the last thread, he went back fifty pages. He may have just assumed that since he goes back fifty pages, the weight of actual killed pages will drown out the most recent page or two. Or maybe he started five pages back or something. He'd have to answer that.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Haggis_McMutton on Sat Mar 09, 2013 8:29 pm

Neoteny wrote:
greenoaks wrote:
Neoteny wrote:OT only.

how long does a thread have to go without any posts for the last post to be considered a killer?


I don't think he indicated that specifically. In the last thread, he went back fifty pages. He may have just assumed that since he goes back fifty pages, the weight of actual killed pages will drown out the most recent page or two. Or maybe he started five pages back or something. He'd have to answer that.


Everything not on the first page was considered dead.

kentington wrote:I wish there was a separate shown post count for OT.
What would the numbers look like if you did thread kills to amount of threads posted in?
That way if you have fifty posts in one thread, it won't help your ratio.


Good idea. This should be easy to run.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby xeno on Tue Mar 12, 2013 5:55 am

So I kill more threads than I thought :( over 80% of my posts since I joined are in ot
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Haggis_McMutton on Wed Mar 13, 2013 12:14 pm

New data in OP.

Click image to enlarge.
image

I think this new graph will make nietzsche happy.

Btw, the graph contains all people who have posted in more than 100 threads in the past 50 pages.

And here's the data dump for everyone who posted in more than 5 threads:
show


New median is 8.7%.


Looks like you were right after all, nietz.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby AndyDufresne on Wed Mar 13, 2013 12:41 pm

I'm about average then it looks like, eh?


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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Gillipig on Wed Mar 13, 2013 4:48 pm

AndyDufresne wrote:I'm about average then it looks like, eh?


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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Ray Rider on Wed Mar 13, 2013 9:00 pm

I'm surprised I even registered on the chart since I generally only post once or twice in a thread.

Edit: Oh, I see that the logic behind the new graph has changed...makes sense then.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby TA1LGUNN3R on Wed Mar 13, 2013 9:02 pm

Ray Rider wrote:I'm surprised I even registered on the chart since I generally only post once or twice in a thread.


It just means you're that much more efficient lol.

Also, I've more than doubled. That hurts.

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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby BigBallinStalin on Wed Mar 13, 2013 9:27 pm

TA1LGUNN3R wrote:
Ray Rider wrote:I'm surprised I even registered on the chart since I generally only post once or twice in a thread.


It just means you're that much more efficient lol.

Also, I've more than doubled. That hurts.

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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby notyou2 on Fri Mar 15, 2013 9:59 pm

Mine.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Lootifer on Sun Mar 17, 2013 8:35 pm

notyou2 wrote:Mine.

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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby DoomYoshi on Mon Mar 18, 2013 1:42 pm

Man, that terrence is hard to beat.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby crispybits on Mon Mar 18, 2013 1:58 pm

I thought this was about killing, not beating.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Gillipig on Mon Mar 18, 2013 4:48 pm

I wonder who will kill this thread. I also wonder who "at his peak" was the most effective thread killer of all time. I think Vic Sullivan is the man to beat in this category.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Neoteny on Mon Mar 18, 2013 4:51 pm

I'm still in pretty good company at the bottom of the list.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Lootifer on Mon Mar 18, 2013 5:18 pm

Gillipig wrote:I wonder who will kill this thread. I also wonder who "at his peak" was the most effective thread killer of all time. I think Vic Sullivan is the man to beat in this category.

I dont think this thread will ever be killed for the reason that we all want to be the one who killed it.

It may get killed at some point, but will surely get ressurected fairly quickly. Those would be killers may need to be quick on the page 2 screen shots ;)
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby BigBallinStalin on Mon Mar 18, 2013 7:26 pm

Neoteny wrote:I'm still in pretty good company at the bottom of the list.


I jumped up to almost second or third place. I feel wretched about the loss of life, but after some time, I'll learn to appreciate my murder spree.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby notyou2 on Mon Mar 18, 2013 8:06 pm

Not this time Big Bull Shit.
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Re: Most prolific killers in The Club - a statistical analys

Postby Gillipig on Tue Mar 19, 2013 7:46 am

BigBallinStalin wrote:
Neoteny wrote:I'm still in pretty good company at the bottom of the list.


I jumped up to almost second or third place. I feel wretched about the loss of life, but after some time, I'll learn to appreciate my murder spree.

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