Following the recent vote for austerity and subsequent vote of confidence for ruling PM and New IMF Employee-of-the-Year Lucas Papademos by the ruling coalition of center-right New Democracy, center-left PASOK and social conservative LAOS, the three parties began kicking out all members who voted against the measures. As a result, everyone and their mother is starting up their own parties in anticipation of the next election.
At the same time, support for the two major parties, ND and PASOK, is continuing to fall to historic lows: 35% combined for the two in the last opinion poll, compared to 77% in 2009. The same poll projects 9 parties to return to pass the 3% threshold to enter Parliament, and a majority government coalition looks to be near impossible.
Greek election laws state:
A party or a coalition of parties elects MPs only if its nationwide tally exceeds 3% of the total valid vote
250 of 300 total seats are apportioned proportionally
The first-past-the post party or coalition receives a 50-seat bonus
This is the current makeup of Government
PASOK - 130 seats, centre-left pro-austerity party of former PM Georgios Papandreou
New Democracy - 67 seats, centre-right pro-austerity party
This is the rest of Parliament
KKE - 21 seats, Stalinist anti-austerity party
LAOS - 16 seats, right-wing anti-austerity party which only voted for it as it is "pro-national unity," whatever that means
SYRIZA-Unitary Social Front - 9 seats, anti-capitalist anti-austerity coalition
Democratic Left - 10 seats, anti-austerity group that voted for it as a "necessary evil," broke away from SYRIZA as they felt the party had moved too far to the left (they now sit between the center-left and far left in their positions)
Social Contract - 9 seats, anti-austerity former PASOK members (this party is very similar to PASOK ideologically)
Independent Greeks - 9 seats, anti-austerity former ND members (this party is to the right of ND)
Democratic Alliance - 4 seats, anti-austerity former ND members (this party is now centrist)
There are also 23 independents (this number is constantly in flux)
These are other parties which could possibly enter Parliament
Greens - environmentalist group with no clear position on austerity
Golden Dawn - neo-Nazi anti-austerity group
Anticaptialist Left Cooperation for the Overthrow - revolutionary communist anti-austerity group
The last opinion polls, released within the last week, gives us this result:
New Democracy 21.5%
SYRIZA-Unitary Social Front 13%
Independent Greeks 11%
Democratic Left 9.5%
Golden Dawn 5.5%
Democratic Alliance 2%
Anticapitalist Left Cooperation for the Overthrow 1.0
All others >1%
This yields the following Parliament:
New Democracy 108
PASOK 39 (Big 2 combined: 147)
Independent Greeks 30
Democratic Left 26
Golden Dawn 15
Last edited by GreecePwns
on Fri Oct 19, 2012 1:00 pm, edited 56 times in total.
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Viceroy wrote:[The Biblical creation story] was written in a time when there was no way to confirm this fact and is in fact a statement of the facts.