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Anatolia wrote:Here's my brief attempt to explain why it seems like the dice are stacked against us:
There's a 1.1% chance of losing 12v3, but it seems to happen about once a week, right? This makes sense because we're all making hundreds of similar attacks per week. We're bound to have a big loss like that every once in a while.
Meanwhile, the odds of winning 5v13 are similarly 1.1%, yet a miracle like that never seems to happen. It's simply because we never attempt attacks like this. If we tried as many underdog attacks as we try big vs small attacks, we'd win against big odds as often as we lose against them.
So, even though the theoretical odds are always fair, the practical odds (actual occurrences/turns taken) of losing big are much higher than for winning big, because of how we play the game.
The conclusion? Even though its annoying when people say the dice odds are against us, there's a weird truth behind what they're saying.
A
Anatolia wrote:Meanwhile, the odds of winning 5v13 are similarly 1.1%, yet a miracle like that never seems to happen. It's simply because we never attempt attacks like this. If we tried as many underdog attacks as we try big vs small attacks, we'd win against big odds as often as we lose against them.
macbone wrote:I just attacked a 3v9 and killed 8 straight. The dice are bizarre sometimes.
macbone wrote:I just attacked a 3v9 and killed 8 straight. The dice are bizarre sometimes.
Viceroy63 wrote:macbone wrote:I just attacked a 3v9 and killed 8 straight. The dice are bizarre sometimes.
And perhaps if you had 4v9 then you would have been completely successful.
HardAttack wrote:Viceroy63 wrote:macbone wrote:I just attacked a 3v9 and killed 8 straight. The dice are bizarre sometimes.
And perhaps if you had 4v9 then you would have been completely successful.
this/your signature/ only shows 8 evolution steps from the first to now...
i wonder what it looked like before 8 steps
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