Conquer Club

So...I took a few minutes and calc'd my weighted average win percentage (e.g. my 2 person games, my 4 player doubles games and my 6 player triples games [making up the games that would represent the 50% win ratio] total 407; my total when I did it was 2916 games; thus 14% of my historical games had the weighted average of 7% towards my total calculated of 25.8 [50% avg poss of winning * 14% for this entry]).

My overall total, assuming I win based on averages, is 25.8%. My stated percentage is 27%.....I am 1.2% better than average.....lol

Anyone else?

Cool!

if you are actually interested, I will lay out how I did it.....let me know ;o)

35.6%

my actual % is 45%
so im just under 10% better than average

Sweet!

KoolBak wrote:if you are actually interested, I will lay out how I did it.....let me know ;o)

Please explain, my english is not that good, and youre post is a bit confusing for me

Frankie...

The games you have where the odds of winning are 50% are 1v1, 4 person doubs, 6 person triples and 8 person quad; YOU played 355 of these. Games with 33% chance of winning are 3 person singles and 6 person doubles; you played 45 of these. Games with 25 % = 10.....17% = 65.....13% = 38. I left out the 5 an 7 person singles as they were negligible. Weighting these is as follows; for the 50% games....355 / 516 (my total of games for you) = 69% of your games at a 50% chance of winning or 34.5% of your total win percentage is based on 1v1 and similar games. Adding the balance of the numbers, your average win rate, based on you winning by the odds exactly, would be 40.9%. You are above that at 46% so I would say you are better than the average player ;o)

60 * .08 = 4.8
59 * .48 = 28.3
58 * .19 = 11.0
30 * .01 = 0.3
23 * .004 = .1
43 * .03 = 1.3
43 * .06 = 2.6
21 * .02 = .4
23 * .03 = .7
8 * .004 = .0
13 * .07 = .9
................50.4%

I'm .2 better than I "should" be

KoolBak wrote:Frankie...

The games you have where the odds of winning are 50% are 1v1, 4 person doubs, 6 person triples and 8 person quad; YOU played 355 of these. Games with 33% chance of winning are 3 person singles and 6 person doubles; you played 45 of these. Games with 25 % = 10.....17% = 65.....13% = 38. I left out the 5 an 7 person singles as they were negligible. Weighting these is as follows; for the 50% games....355 / 516 (my total of games for you) = 69% of your games at a 50% chance of winning or 34.5% of your total win percentage is based on 1v1 and similar games. Adding the balance of the numbers, your average win rate, based on you winning by the odds exactly, would be 40.9%. You are above that at 46% so I would say you are better than the average player ;o)

I get it now, thanks !
I win 5.1% more than I should win !
Must have had lucky dice then..

much simple its to use map rank-they will calculate % for every map separate.

2 player-52%
3 player-48%
4 player-38%
5 player-28%
6 player-24%
7 player- 5%
8 player-27%

also you can check win % by cards to;
no spoils----37%
escalating--36%
flat rate----40%

actualy you have many more options to check in map rank,like-doubles-triple-quads-terminator-fog and many other

qwert wrote:much simple its to use map rank-they will calculate % for every map separate.

…not what we're looking for.

Ooh! Somebody do mine! Please?

(I bet I'm below average... I'm such a crappy player usually)

Calculated win% came out to 42.2%, and in reality I have a 51.6% winning percentage. Not too shabby

Qwert....arent those calcs a function of BOB or some other downloadable script / add-on? I play the old fashined way ;o).....although I admit I like the new little table that sums up the main stats....lol

wonder what i am?? lol

by KoolBak » Tue Feb 09, 2010 1:41 am

Qwert....arent those calcs a function of BOB or some other downloadable script / add-on? I play the old fashined way ;o).....although I admit I like the new little table that sums up the main stats....lol

im not quite sure what you mean.
Map rank scrip,will calculate many thing.
For example-you press 2 player games,and then hit map rank,and they will give you all informacions about,what map you play-total games with 2 players -how many you win and how many you lost-total unique opponents,and many other stats/

KoolBak wrote:Qwert....arent those calcs a function of BOB or some other downloadable script / add-on? I play the old fashined way ;o).....although I admit I like the new little table that sums up the main stats....lol

Map rank has a feature called kill ratio, perhaps this is what you are talking about. They probably take your actual average divided by what average should be and then multiply by 50 and stick a % sign in front of it. At least I'm assuming that that is how it is done.

Hey KoolBak, this is intriguing...

Let me see if i can do this...

50% games... won 3 of 5 4p doubles, won 1 of 4 6p trips, won 0 of 1 quad... so 5 out of 10 = 50% (even)
33% games... won 13 of 24 6p doubles, won 1 of 2 3p games... so 14 out of 26 = 54% (+19%)
25% games... won 7 of 19 4p games... so 37% (+12%)
20% games... won 23 of 55 5p games... so 42% (+22%)
17% games... won 108 of 434 6p games... so 25% (+8%)
14% games... won 2 of 12 7p games... so 17% (+3%)
12.5% games... won 4 of 17 8p games... so 23.5% (+11%)

so where does that put me overall?

48.364% Weighted

31% total

i'm playing 17.364% better than I'm supposed to...



My e-penis feels bigger all of the sudden.

expected 35,17
real 47,66
difference 12,49%
relative rank 0.919

@corno
if your calculations were correct you'd play 17% worse than you are supposed. But you did not. This is what I got for you
expected 27,16%
real 30,95%
difference 3,79%
so you're doing better than you are supposed to...

Robinette wrote:Hey KoolBak, this is intriguing...

Let me see if i can do this...

50% games... won 3 of 5 4p doubles, won 1 of 4 6p trips, won 0 of 1 quad... so 5 out of 10 = 50% (even)
33% games... won 13 of 24 6p doubles, won 1 of 2 3p games... so 14 out of 26 = 54% (+19%)
25% games... won 7 of 19 4p games... so 37% (+12%)
20% games... won 23 of 55 5p games... so 42% (+22%)
17% games... won 108 of 434 6p games... so 25% (+8%)
14% games... won 2 of 12 7p games... so 17% (+3%)
12.5% games... won 4 of 17 8p games... so 23.5% (+11%)

so where does that put me overall?

your overall expected win% is 18,43. So well done! +9,79%!!!
it's much more difficult to get a big difference if you play games with many players. For Example: winning 60% of 2 player games (+10%) is easy while winning 27% of six player games (also +10%) is difficult!

My results are (wins/games)

2 player singles 293/545
4 player doubles 216/411
6 player triples 456/618

3 player singles 20/42
6 player doubles 1/5

4 player singles 12/36
8 player doubles 0/0

5 player singles 4/23

6 player singles 26/99

7 player singles 0/7

8 player singles 2/13

I reckon this shows an average of 46.4% and I have a 57.2% win rate which means I am (according to my calcs) 10.8% to the good.

Is this correct?

Robin my dear.....the 18.xx figure is correct; your 10% overage is VERY impressive given that it is solely based on your playing prowess in singles six person games.....very nice ;o) Best posted here yet I do believe......

Someone is welcome to tell me how crappy I play.

Tutti Frutti.....I come up with almost identical numbers for you....excellent ;o)