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Is the Bitcoin bull run starting?

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Bitcoin has dumped from 25,000 to 44,000 over a few months...what happens next?

short lived pamp, going back to 15k soon
1
14%
welcome to the bull market you fucks, HFSP while my account hits 7 figs when BTC hits 100k in 2024
2
29%
It's bull from here on out, but a slow building one. We won't see 100k BTC price until 2025
0
No votes
I eat pork, yet self identify as a Jewish Space Laser.
3
43%
GOLD IS THE ONLY CURRENCY GOD APPROVES OF HOARDING
1
14%
 
Total votes : 7

Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby saxitoxin on Sat Mar 11, 2023 6:02 pm

So much for the stability of stablecoin ...

1/ Following the confirmation at the end of today that the wires initiated on Thursday to remove balances were not yet processed, $3.3 billion of the ~$40 billion of USDC reserves remain at SVB.

https://twitter.com/circle/status/1634391505988206592
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby mookiemcgee on Sat Mar 11, 2023 9:25 pm

saxitoxin wrote:So much for the stability of stablecoin ...

1/ Following the confirmation at the end of today that the wires initiated on Thursday to remove balances were not yet processed, $3.3 billion of the ~$40 billion of USDC reserves remain at SVB.

https://twitter.com/circle/status/1634391505988206592



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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby HitRed on Sat Mar 11, 2023 9:38 pm

Silver and Gold
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby mookiemcgee on Mon Mar 13, 2023 3:07 pm

Stablecoin fully recovered. BTC back to 24k. Orange Coin loves gov't bailouts
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby saxitoxin on Mon Mar 13, 2023 6:24 pm

mookiemcgee wrote:Stablecoin fully recovered.


That's like saying someone who goes into cardiac arrest, gets shocked five times with an AED, and then starts breathing again "recovered from their heart attack."

USD Coin was resuscitated by Dr. Janet "There's a Small Risk of Transitory Inflation" Yellen. Which is similar to having a chiropractor perform open heart surgery on you. Do they know more than your 16 year-old neighbor? Sure. Should they be anyone's first choice to do open heart surgery? Definitely not. Did the perpetually confused, 81 year-old hospital administrator say that only chiropractors can do heart surgeries? For some reason, yes.
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby mookiemcgee on Mon Mar 13, 2023 7:49 pm

saxitoxin wrote:
mookiemcgee wrote:Stablecoin fully recovered.


That's like saying someone who goes into cardiac arrest, gets shocked five times with an AED, and then starts breathing again "recovered from their heart attack."

USD Coin was resuscitated by Dr. Janet "There's a Small Risk of Transitory Inflation" Yellen. Which is similar to having a chiropractor perform open heart surgery on you. Do they know more than your 16 year-old neighbor? Sure. Should they be anyone's first choice to do open heart surgery? Definitely not. Did the perpetually confused, 81 year-old hospital administrator say that only chiropractors can do heart surgeries? For some reason, yes.


Or it's like saying it was always redeemable 1:1 through circle, but since the feds just closed both of the banks (silvergate and signature) that previously offered circle a 24/7 route honoring this for exchanges over the weekends a bunch of people freaked out and created arbitrage opportunities for those with enough balls to no call their heart surgeon about a mole on their back. Regardless of Yellens statement, USDC was set to regain peg as soon banking hours resumed
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby mookiemcgee on Mon Mar 13, 2023 8:25 pm

If you want to learn more about the USG efforts to undermine the crypto ecosystem, and now 'save' USDC you can read about operation choke point... here one article
https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert ... mber-banks
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby HitRed on Fri Mar 17, 2023 8:21 am

Bitcoin is kickin it

$28,312.78
3-19-23
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby mookiemcgee on Thu Mar 23, 2023 3:51 pm

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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby HitRed on Thu Mar 23, 2023 4:09 pm

I almost posted that an hour ago. QE
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby jimboston on Fri Mar 24, 2023 6:30 am

mookiemcgee wrote:If you want to learn more about the USG efforts to undermine the crypto ecosystem, and now 'save' USDC you can read about operation choke point... here one article
https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert ... mber-banks


from the paper…
The Administration Announcement emphasized the need to effectively regulate crypto-assets to protect investors, hold bad actors accountable, and—in explicit reference to the May 2022 "so-called stablecoin" collapse—prevent turmoil in the cryptocurrency sector from spreading to the broader financial system.


You can claim this is an attempt to “undermine” the crypto ecosystem.

Yet wouldn’t stabilizing crypto actually help it?

… also, who really wants or needs a completely untraceable “currency”?

Bad actors for the most part… drug cartels, criminals, hackers, extortionists, terrorists, etc.

Finally… why should we non-crypto crazies care, and allow contagion in the crypto world it spill-over to the “standard” broader financial system?
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby HitRed on Fri Mar 24, 2023 12:16 pm

So the USA banks can give their underwater treasuries to the gov and get 100 par value. So, if you where China then sell them to a friendly USA bank. Have the US bank turn them into the US gov (laundering) and get most of your money back? This could be very expensive to the taxpayer. Maybe into 2 or 3 years the scandal will break. Maybe there are safeguards. Not sure.
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby mookiemcgee on Fri Mar 24, 2023 1:39 pm

jimboston wrote:
mookiemcgee wrote:If you want to learn more about the USG efforts to undermine the crypto ecosystem, and now 'save' USDC you can read about operation choke point... here one article
https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert ... mber-banks


from the paper…
The Administration Announcement emphasized the need to effectively regulate crypto-assets to protect investors, hold bad actors accountable, and—in explicit reference to the May 2022 "so-called stablecoin" collapse—prevent turmoil in the cryptocurrency sector from spreading to the broader financial system.


You can claim this is an attempt to “undermine” the crypto ecosystem.

Yet wouldn’t stabilizing crypto actually help it?

… also, who really wants or needs a completely untraceable “currency”?

Bad actors for the most part… drug cartels, criminals, hackers, extortionists, terrorists, etc.

Finally… why should we non-crypto crazies care, and allow contagion in the crypto world it spill-over to the “standard” broader financial system?
]

as mentioned before digital assets are inherently 'more traceable' than cash/fiat. Public ledger + actual accounting of supply.

How is the feds telling banks they cannot associate with crypto investments in any way (after writing rules two years earlier to allow it) help to stabilize crypto? These banks aren't even 'investing' in crypto, they are simply holding super safe assets like treasuries on behalf of crypto companies and are being target for it. Who does this protect Jim?

The Feds didn't do anything in May 2022, and then now after crypto had stabilized and was heading back in a good direction they are just straight up attacking banks that have close relationships to crypto. Signature and Silvergate weren't insolvent like SVB and credit Suisse, they were simply targeted because they were the main choke point for exchanging fiat with digital assets. Who are the mysterious 'bad actors' here, a bank holding treasuries for a private company is 'bad'? We aren't talking about drug cartels here, we are talking about Circle who is a fully compliant SEC reporting company all that is fully transparent about the investments backing it's stablecoin.
https://www.circle.com/en/transparency

https://www.wsj.com/articles/signature- ... c-9b825e2e
https://decrypt.co/123346/signature-ban ... rney-frank
(signature bank closed, not due to insolvency. Closed because "Feds wanted to send a message to get people away from crypto.”)
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby jimboston on Fri Mar 24, 2023 9:47 pm

Maybe they don’t want unknown quantities holding Treasuries.

If you don’t like the rules divest and put your money in China.
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby HitRed on Fri Mar 24, 2023 10:22 pm

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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby mookiemcgee on Sat Mar 25, 2023 1:56 pm

jimboston wrote:Maybe they don’t want unknown quantities holding Treasuries.

If you don’t like the rules divest and put your money in China.


lol, who are the 'unknown quantities' that would be holding treasuries? Circles Board includes the previous CFO of Delta Airlines, former director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, senior partner of Ernst and Young.

Barney Frank was on the board of signature bank, you know that guy who wrote the Dodd Frank bill.

The end game here isn't anyone 'divesting to China', such a comment seems to entirely miss the point of crypto as being censorship resistant to any gov'ts desire to control and regulate. It's US citizen/investors who lose the most here, and the US dollar as being the peg/reserve currency in the long term.
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby jimboston on Sun Mar 26, 2023 7:26 am

Not the board of directors… but if the people holding the crypto want to “cash out” you’d have something similar to a bank run.

The US Dollar has lost some luster… but there’s no viable alternative.
Maybe Gold or other precious metals like HR is selling…. it those fluctuate as well.
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby mookiemcgee on Sun Mar 26, 2023 11:25 am

jimboston wrote:Not the board of directors… but if the people holding the crypto want to “cash out” you’d have something similar to a bank run.

The US Dollar has lost some luster… but there’s no viable alternative.
Maybe Gold or other precious metals like HR is selling…. it those fluctuate as well.



Yes, You'd have a bank run created by regulators who shut down rule abiding and solvent banks who were obeying the rules set up by regulators.

bUt ThEy aRE dOIng iT tO pRoTecT iNveSTOrs
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby jimboston on Sun Mar 26, 2023 5:56 pm

Crypto Companies are banks now?

You can’t have it both ways.
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby jusplay4fun on Sun Mar 26, 2023 8:18 pm

jimboston wrote:Not the board of directors… but if the people holding the crypto want to “cash out” you’d have something similar to a bank run.

The US Dollar has lost some luster… but there’s no viable alternative.
Maybe Gold or other precious metals like HR is selling…. it those fluctuate as well.



https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/petrodollar-vs-petroyuan-can-china-overthrow-us-in-the-global-oil-market-12346142.html

Petrodollar vs Petroyuan: Can China overthrow US in the global oil market?
China is the world’s biggest crude oil importer and is leveraging that position to make petroyuan the preferred choice for international trade. The move is aimed at denting the US dollar’s hegemony in the global market
FP Explainers March 24, 2023 17:04:08 IST

We are all well aware that all international trade is carried out in dollars. That trend might be seeing a change in recent times with more countries trying to push trade in their currency.

The Indian rupee is also making great strides in this matter, with now 18 countries — Russia, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Botswana, Fiji, Germany, Guyana, Israel, Kenya, Malaysia, Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand, Oman, Seychelles, Tanzania, Uganda and the United Kingdom — being allowed to trade in Indian currency and give up dollar as cross-border transaction mode.

Amid these talks and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, there is now buzz around the petroyuan. In fact, China has been increasingly pushing the yuan as a currency for oil deals, challenging the dollar’s lead in commodity markets and trying to weaken US hegemony.
JP4Fun

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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby mookiemcgee on Sun Mar 26, 2023 8:55 pm

jimboston wrote:Crypto Companies are banks now?

You can’t have it both ways.


Banks such as signature bank, with federal charters are banks.

It's seems like maybe you need to catch up on previous posts before we continue the conversation.

Let me ask you a question Jim, why did Silicon valley bank fail?

Did they make too bad loans that were defaulting?
Did they lose tons of money in crypto?
what was the root cause of their failure?
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby HitRed on Sun Mar 26, 2023 10:22 pm

Trump?
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Re: Is the Bitcoin bull run over?

Postby jimboston on Mon Mar 27, 2023 8:01 am

mookiemcgee wrote:
jimboston wrote:Crypto Companies are banks now?

You can’t have it both ways.


Banks such as signature bank, with federal charters are banks.

It's seems like maybe you need to catch up on previous posts before we continue the conversation.

Let me ask you a question Jim, why did Silicon valley bank fail?

Did they make too bad loans that were defaulting?
Did they lose tons of money in crypto?
what was the root cause of their failure?


You are the one comparing Crypto Companies to Banks!

Why did SVB Fail…there’s no ONE Cause…

*They didn’t have enough liquidity.
*They were over-invested in limited assets and when they went to divest they took losses they couldn’t afford.
*They blindly invested in this limited asset without really considering the basic principal that when interest rates rise the value of this asset is absolutely going to drop… not a problem if you can sit on the asset for long term; a big problem if you need to sell.
*That made these investments with full knowledge that the Fed was going to be raising rates.
*They underestimated the cash flow needs of their customers.
*They had a limited customer base. When the industry that this base lives in started to experience turmoil these customers all jumped to access funds in a ‘herd mentality’ manner.

If you had to pick one cause the answer would be BAD MANAGEMENT.

If you had to pick a secondary cause you could blame the economy in general… but that’s dumb. It’s easy to run a business in a growing economy it’s much harder to maintain in a down market.
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