Conquer Club

What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?

Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.

some days it seems about 50:50

and if u must shoot something shoot a can or yourself in the foot

I'm not sure what the odds are, but we seem to have the same luck. I've had 3 turns in a game and took out only 1 enemy army while using up every single attack I could make. Luckily its a triples game and not a terminator.

dont take any more turns 2day

The1exile wrote:What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?

Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.

against 2 dice, it is 0.002143511142263743, or about one fifth of one percent

Edit: whoops that number is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, square that number and you will get the probability os losing 20 men in a row or 10 rolls in a row

Cronus wrote:

The1exile wrote:What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?

Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.

against 2 dice, it is 0.002143511142263743, or about one fifth of one percent

ur avvy is so cool

i am quoting because its funny to quote ppl

Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.

ClessAlvein wrote:Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.

whoops you are correct, mine is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, if you square my answer, you get yours

I get a probability of 0.000004594640017008817. which is 0.0004594640017008817%

Yarr fast edited

chessplaya wrote:

Cronus wrote:

The1exile wrote:What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?

Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.

against 2 dice, it is 0.002143511142263743, or about one fifth of one percent

ur avvy is so cool

i am quoting because its funny to quote ppl

do you like bunnies with pancakes on their heads?

Cronus wrote:

ClessAlvein wrote:Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.

whoops you are correct, mine is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, if you square my answer, you get yours

I get a probability of 0.000004594640017008817. which is 0.0004594640017008817%

Yes I believe that is right, although my calculator differs very slightly. You are using the Dice Analyzer figures I presume?

RobinJ wrote:

Cronus wrote:

ClessAlvein wrote:Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.

whoops you are correct, mine is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, if you square my answer, you get yours

I get a probability of 0.000004594640017008817. which is 0.0004594640017008817%

Yes I believe that is right, although my calculator differs very slightly. You are using the Dice Analyzer figures I presume?

I am using a website
http://www.recreationalmath.com/risk/riskprob.htm

OK, so I'm not likely to get it again for another few months, thanks for the answers.