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saxitoxin wrote:Your position is more complex than the federal tax code. As soon as I think I understand it, I find another index of cross-references, exceptions and amendments I have to apply.
Timminz wrote:Yo mama is so classless, she could be a Marxist utopia.
MeDeFe wrote:I haven't been inactive, I've just not been posting because I've had nothing to add. The discussion was already going at full steam when I logged in after the night and pretty much all the points have been covered all the time. I was getting very strong town vibes from blake "yesterday", but Rodion has been making a strong case in his own favour so far. Frankly, I'm undecided.
I do, however, agree with those who say that TG should spit out what he's thinking (or at least give us a better reason for why he's not doing it than he has so far) instead of just vaguely hinting that he knows who might play mafia in a certain way regarding nightkills.
Commander9 wrote:Trust Edoc, as I know he's VERY good.
zimmah wrote:Mind like a brick.
Maxleod wrote:Not strike, he's the only one with a functioning brain.
strike wolf wrote:Probably not edocsil. Medefe, vio and jeraado are the ones who were prodded and they've all posted now. Though I agree I would have a lot to say if I was in the game...
edocsil wrote:MeDeFe wrote:I haven't been inactive, I've just not been posting because I've had nothing to add. The discussion was already going at full steam when I logged in after the night and pretty much all the points have been covered all the time. I was getting very strong town vibes from blake "yesterday", but Rodion has been making a strong case in his own favour so far. Frankly, I'm undecided.
I do, however, agree with those who say that TG should spit out what he's thinking (or at least give us a better reason for why he's not doing it than he has so far) instead of just vaguely hinting that he knows who might play mafia in a certain way regarding nightkills.
I have be asked to replace, once I get a role I will have a lot to say.
jeraado wrote:Sorry tails, but now that you've said it, you'll need to at least give a bit more of an explanation as to why you cant reveal what you know. If you are town and you truly have solid information about who is scum, then you should reveal it. Of course if the information can't be revealed (i.e. its against the rules) then your ability to continue in the game suggests you are scum
Rodion wrote:There are several roles whose existence could explain a false guilty report. I can think of paranoid cop, insane cop, framer, miller and bus driver.
No you didn't. You're making long posts to show you have something to say, but you're defending yourself more than helping.Rodion wrote: I think I gathered enough evidence that shows Blake to be extra scummy and his preemptive strategy of accusing his accuser (me) is just the cherry on top.
Rodion wrote:The real strange thing is, after 2 protective roles have died, Blake claiming cop before even trying to lynch his target without having to let all the mafia know his identity.
Rodion wrote:Now, I know for a fact that Blake is guilty (the reason being that he is trying to get me, a townie, killed)
Rodion wrote:Possibility 1: he is a reckless/dumb cop.
By trusting Blake, with the 2 town protective roles dead and a reckless/dumb cop, mafia loses 1 member on day 2 (Rodion lynched) and kills the cop on night 2 (Blake killed), leaving the town short of 2 protective roles and it's main (and possibly only) investigate role. That heavily tips the scales on mafia's favor. Town chances of winning are below 30%. That means that trusting Blake will lead to a high % chance of a mafia win, even if Blake is telling the truth.
By trusting Rodion, you lynch Blake on day 2 and likely lose another townie on night 2. Town chances of winning are below 10%, but at least you get to lynch a surefire mafia on day 3 (Rodion).
freezie wrote:Town's only chance is to not lynch our claimed cop, and HOPE there is a watcher/tracker/other protective role out there.
naxus wrote:But the cop has to think of endgame scenario, Say blake is faking being the cop and the real cop comes out of nowhere. We lynch blake and then mafia NK the real cop. Then town would have lost two protective roles and its only investigative role. Thats not good numbers for town. The cop has a lose lose situation. Stay quiet and watch Rodion(Town in my opinion) get lynched or he can claim have blake lynched(Fake cop in my opinon) and then get himself NK. Either way, town is losing numbers when they dont have numbers to lose.
TA1LGUNN3R wrote:jeraado wrote:Sorry tails, but now that you've said it, you'll need to at least give a bit more of an explanation as to why you cant reveal what you know. If you are town and you truly have solid information about who is scum, then you should reveal it. Of course if the information can't be revealed (i.e. its against the rules) then your ability to continue in the game suggests you are scum
Goddammit I really regret saying that. It's just a guess. And no, I'm not going to give the reason why. It's from outside Mafia Games and has nothing to do with this game, it's not role-related info or anything like that, and I'm not willing to betray someone's trust. Let it lie. If y'all wish to pursue this then I'll have to be replaced. Or fucking lynch me, whatever.
-Tails
TA1LGUNN3R wrote:TA1LGUNN3R wrote:jeraado wrote:Sorry tails, but now that you've said it, you'll need to at least give a bit more of an explanation as to why you cant reveal what you know. If you are town and you truly have solid information about who is scum, then you should reveal it. Of course if the information can't be revealed (i.e. its against the rules) then your ability to continue in the game suggests you are scum
Goddammit I really regret saying that. It's just a guess. And no, I'm not going to give the reason why. It's from outside Mafia Games and has nothing to do with this game, it's not role-related info or anything like that, and I'm not willing to betray someone's trust. Let it lie. If y'all wish to pursue this then I'll have to be replaced. Or fucking lynch me, whatever.
-Tails
Oh and read the day-scene. I didn't, and it looks like shield wasn't actively targeted. He was protecting John Connor. So forgot that argument.
-Tails
blakebowling wrote:Also, something else I just thought.
What scum busdriver would have busdriven me towards someone else that was scum? Noone knew that I was cop D1, so for all they knew, I had a SK ability and would have killed that person? That is assuming that there isn't a town busdriver that busdrove me last night.
DoomYoshi wrote:yes.
DoomYoshi wrote:yes.
freezie wrote:blakebowling wrote:Also, something else I just thought.
What scum busdriver would have busdriven me towards someone else that was scum? Noone knew that I was cop D1, so for all they knew, I had a SK ability and would have killed that person? That is assuming that there isn't a town busdriver that busdrove me last night.
Any busdriver COULD have switched Rodion with -X- person out there. Which would have given you the scum result.
But that is very unlikely, and ( hey look another point on Rodion's scumminess ) not explaining Rodion's huge attack on Blake.
Haggis_McMutton wrote:2. Anyone else find it kind of funny that naxus is NK'd right after insisting that we're all paranoid?
TA1LGUNN3R wrote:jeraado wrote:Sorry tails, but now that you've said it, you'll need to at least give a bit more of an explanation as to why you cant reveal what you know. If you are town and you truly have solid information about who is scum, then you should reveal it. Of course if the information can't be revealed (i.e. its against the rules) then your ability to continue in the game suggests you are scum
Goddammit I really regret saying that. It's just a guess. And no, I'm not going to give the reason why. It's from outside Mafia Games and has nothing to do with this game, it's not role-related info or anything like that, and I'm not willing to betray someone's trust. Let it lie. If y'all wish to pursue this then I'll have to be replaced. Or fucking lynch me, whatever.
-Tails
freezie wrote:Forget the 2 wrong cops
freezie wrote: No you didn't. You're making long posts to show you have something to say, but you're defending yourself more than helping.
freezie wrote:Purely metagaming perspective, no, that's not out of the ordinary from what I remember of blake's style of play.
freezie wrote:WIFOM
I don't need to say more
freezie wrote:Wrong, we get 2 mafias either way. Blake and myself, or Rodion and Icon. Town's only chance is to not lynch our claimed cop, and HOPE there is a watcher/tracker/other protective role out there.
blakebowling wrote:Or maybe I'm bulletproof...
blakebowling wrote:Anyway, I find it highly suspicious that Rodion and icon haven't said anything about what would happen should they be lynched.
Rodion wrote:Possibility 1: he is a reckless/dumb cop.
By trusting Blake, with the 2 town protective roles dead and a reckless/dumb cop, mafia loses 1 member on day 2 (Rodion lynched) and kills the cop on night 2 (Blake killed), leaving the town short of 2 protective roles and it's main (and possibly only) investigate role. That heavily tips the scales on mafia's favor. Town chances of winning are below 30%. That means that trusting Blake will lead to a high % chance of a mafia win, even if Blake is telling the truth.
By trusting Rodion, you lynch Blake on day 2 and likely lose another townie on night 2. Town chances of winning are below 10%, but at least you get to lynch a surefire mafia on day 3 (Rodion).
Possibility 2: he is mafia trying to preemptively accuse his accuser.
By trusting Blake, you force me to roleclaim (giving mafia more knowledge about town power roles). If you still trust Blake after I roleclaim, you lynch a town power role and likely get another townie killed on night 2. Town chances of winning the game fall below 10%, but at least you get to lynch a surefire mafia on day 3 (Blake).
By trusting Rodion, you lynch Blake and spare me from roleclaiming, thus denying the mafia this extra information. The cop is still alive (since he was not Blake) and we enter night 2 with his identity hidden, meaning he's considerably safe. Town chances of winning the game are prety decent.
freezie wrote:Throw aside your oppinions for now. Either we take the chance of killing our claimed cop only to find out if he's telling the truth or not, or we lynch Rodion and find out is blake is telling the truth or not. Without a cop claiming, it's a much safer route for town to kill the guilty report before killing a possible fake cop.
Like it was said before, I hardly see a mafia fake claiming cop on day 2.
If we do it otherwise, we lynch a possible cop. If we find out he's mafia, well, good, we get a mafia and most assurely another ( myself ). If we find out he's telling the truth, we lost our cop, but we get a mafia ( and possibly another, again ).
I went with the first possibility. The safest one.
Rodion"[quote="freezie wrote:Wrong, we get 2 mafias either way. Blake and myself, or Rodion and Icon. Town's only chance is to not lynch our claimed cop, and HOPE there is a watcher/tracker/other protective role out there.
It's a moot point because I won't flip mafia if I'm lynched, but if I did the least you could do is eat some humble pie and conclude ooiCon is town because I couldn't be THAT stupid. You can reply this whole paragraph with "WIFOM" if you want to, I don't care.
Rodion wrote:blakebowling wrote:Or maybe I'm bulletproof...
I don't yet know how to do mafia balancing, but a bulletproof cop strikes me as the unlikeliest possibility ever mentioned in this thread. Congratulations (and thanks) on going that far and making you seem more suspicious.blakebowling wrote:Anyway, I find it highly suspicious that Rodion and icon haven't said anything about what would happen should they be lynched.
REALLY? REALLY? REALLY?Rodion wrote:Possibility 1: he is a reckless/dumb cop.
By trusting Blake, with the 2 town protective roles dead and a reckless/dumb cop, mafia loses 1 member on day 2 (Rodion lynched) and kills the cop on night 2 (Blake killed), leaving the town short of 2 protective roles and it's main (and possibly only) investigate role. That heavily tips the scales on mafia's favor. Town chances of winning are below 30%. That means that trusting Blake will lead to a high % chance of a mafia win, even if Blake is telling the truth.
By trusting Rodion, you lynch Blake on day 2 and likely lose another townie on night 2. Town chances of winning are below 10%, but at least you get to lynch a surefire mafia on day 3 (Rodion).
Possibility 2: he is mafia trying to preemptively accuse his accuser.
By trusting Blake, you force me to roleclaim (giving mafia more knowledge about town power roles). If you still trust Blake after I roleclaim, you lynch a town power role and likely get another townie killed on night 2. Town chances of winning the game fall below 10%, but at least you get to lynch a surefire mafia on day 3 (Blake).
By trusting Rodion, you lynch Blake and spare me from roleclaiming, thus denying the mafia this extra information. The cop is still alive (since he was not Blake) and we enter night 2 with his identity hidden, meaning he's considerably safe. Town chances of winning the game are prety decent.
I considered the 4 possible scenarios:
a) Blake truthful, trust Blake
b) Blake liar, trust Blake
c) Blake truthful, trust Rodion
d) Blake liar, trust Rodion
There you go, Mr. "I only remember what benefits me".
And, since you mentioned it, OMGUS!freezie wrote:Throw aside your oppinions for now. Either we take the chance of killing our claimed cop only to find out if he's telling the truth or not, or we lynch Rodion and find out is blake is telling the truth or not. Without a cop claiming, it's a much safer route for town to kill the guilty report before killing a possible fake cop.
Like it was said before, I hardly see a mafia fake claiming cop on day 2.
If we do it otherwise, we lynch a possible cop. If we find out he's mafia, well, good, we get a mafia and most assurely another ( myself ). If we find out he's telling the truth, we lost our cop, but we get a mafia ( and possibly another, again ).
I went with the first possibility. The safest one.
I'll refer to the 4 possibilities I've listed on this same post. Both "B" and "C" are awful and will drop town's chance to a longshot. "A" is partially good because you get one mafia (or 2, if you really think I'm stupid enough to protect 00iCon if he is indeed my scumbuddy), but you also lose your cop on N2. "D" is the best as we get 2 mafia (Blake+Freezie) and get to keep our cop hidden for 1 more day.
And to a latest post of yours in which you said I am scummy for attacking Blake so fiercely - if you rule those odds roles (paranoid/insane cop, miller, framer and busdriver) as unlikely, declaring a townie (I'm 100% sure I'm townie) to be guilty means you're knowingly conducting a mislynch, thus you're mafia. So, if you say you don't believe there to be one of those odds roles, it's a logical conclusion that I must attack Blake as fiercely as I can. There is nothing scummy here, it's just my ONLY possibility.
blakebowling wrote:
From my eyes, there are two possibilities.
Rodion is scum, and needs to be lynched.
OR
I am insane and therefore get a backwards result, and Rodion isn't.
(I highly doubt he added paranoid / random cop; That would be useless in a small game)
Haggis_McMutton wrote:2. Anyone else find it kind of funny that naxus is NK'd right after insisting that we're all paranoid?
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