Moderator: Tournament Directors
AmphibiousRodent wrote:Since we're about halfway through the season, I figure it's time for some predictions. I'll grade myself on these after the season. Feel free to jump in with your own picks, or tell me why I'm wrong, or call me a moron or whatever.
Big East
Rodent's pick: West Virginia
The Big East has been the weakest conference so far this year (9-24 in nonconference play), so it shouldn't be hard for someone to take control. Question is, will anyone? West Virginia (3-2) was ranked early on, reaching #13 in Week 3. But watch out, here comes Rutgers (2-3) out of left field with two league wins after dropping his first three nonconference games.
plash.ricrem wrote:AmphibiousRodent wrote:Since we're about halfway through the season, I figure it's time for some predictions. I'll grade myself on these after the season. Feel free to jump in with your own picks, or tell me why I'm wrong, or call me a moron or whatever.
Big East
Rodent's pick: West Virginia
The Big East has been the weakest conference so far this year (9-24 in nonconference play), so it shouldn't be hard for someone to take control. Question is, will anyone? West Virginia (3-2) was ranked early on, reaching #13 in Week 3. But watch out, here comes Rutgers (2-3) out of left field with two league wins after dropping his first three nonconference games.
Rutgers has apparently taken Rodent's predictions and put them on their bulletin board, as it appears they're on the verge of improving to 3-0 in conference on the year, and winning their 4th game in a row, on the road at Louisville.
When asked why the blazes Rutgers got destroyed in their early season out of conference games, before improving in conference, Coach Ricrem admitted that his roster was largely built around players who had confused Football with Foosball. He is hopeful however, that if they become bowl eligible they'll be able to hustle the money necessary for travel at the local campus pub.
Mountain West
Rodent's pick: Boise State
This one is tough -- any number of teams could take this one. I feel Air Force (5-1) has been the steadiest, but Boise (4-2) has shown the explosive ability to beat the top teams and is 3-0 against Top-25 competition. Boise's two losses came against unranked teams (29-23 to Tulsa and 27-25 to Nevada), but Tulsa is now ranked and Nevada is just outside the Top 25. UNLV (4-2) is 2-0 against the Top 25, but has losses to unranked Wisconsin and Washington State.
AmphibiousRodent wrote:I had not thought about that. I will figure out maps and get back to you.
HighlanderAttack wrote:Mountain West
Rodent's pick: Boise State
This one is tough -- any number of teams could take this one. I feel Air Force (5-1) has been the steadiest, but Boise (4-2) has shown the explosive ability to beat the top teams and is 3-0 against Top-25 competition. Boise's two losses came against unranked teams (29-23 to Tulsa and 27-25 to Nevada), but Tulsa is now ranked and Nevada is just outside the Top 25. UNLV (4-2) is 2-0 against the Top 25, but has losses to unranked Wisconsin and Washington State.
No mention of Colorado state--ouch --two losses now because of non starts--or they would be undefeated. A little luck and we win out--just thought I would mention that.
ianphull wrote:Im sorry you really need to look into how you work this stupid RPI out!
How the hell you can have a team with a record of 5-2 be higher than a team that has 8-0 record or how a team with a 4-2 record be higher than a team that has a 7-1 record. Is this really how collage tables work or is this just you???
The way things are going you could have a team that has lost 2 games be top and have a team that goes unbeaten all season down in 7th! how fair is this??
AmphibiousRodent wrote:I'm leaning toward conference championship games being on the USA map most closely associated with the conference, with no maps being duplicated.
ACC: USA New England
Big Ten: USA Great Lakes
C-USA: USA
MAC: USA Rockies
PAC-12: USA West (or USA Southwest)
SEC: USA Southeast
How does this sound?
agentcom wrote:AmphibiousRodent wrote:I'm leaning toward conference championship games being on the USA map most closely associated with the conference, with no maps being duplicated.
ACC: USA New England
Big Ten: USA Great Lakes
C-USA: USA
MAC: USA Rockies
PAC-12: USA West (or USA Southwest)
SEC: USA Southeast
How does this sound?
That's kind of a cool idea.
agentcom wrote:ianphull wrote:Im sorry you really need to look into how you work this stupid RPI out!
How the hell you can have a team with a record of 5-2 be higher than a team that has 8-0 record or how a team with a 4-2 record be higher than a team that has a 7-1 record. Is this really how collage tables work or is this just you???
The way things are going you could have a team that has lost 2 games be top and have a team that goes unbeaten all season down in 7th! how fair is this??
Ever hear of Boise State (among others)? If you have an easy schedule, you don't get quality points for your wins.
Besides, Rodent has said that he's making some tweaks to the formula. I'm guessing by the time the end of the season rolls around, these anomalies will mostly disappear, whether from his tweaks or from the formula working things out.
But bottom line: You can't play an easy schedule and expect to be top-ranked when you win them all. Just like in the real BCS.
AmphibiousRodent wrote:In real life you have your AP poll, USA today coaches poll, and the BCS rankings (which takes the polls into account as well as computer rankings).
Here's the current polls:
http://espn.go.com/college-football/rankings
You'll notice that Houston (9-0) is ranked behind a bunch of 8-1 teams, because Conference USA is generally considered a weaker conference and Houston's schedule is considered weaker. Boise State is undefeated (or near it) almost every year, but gets left out of the championship game because it's from a weak conference. That's why this tournament has a playoff bracket at the end instead of a single title game, which is a departure from real life.
It all must look pretty silly to someone who didn't grow up with the sport.
qwertylpc wrote:USC IS BACK!!!
Watch out
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