Extreme Ways wrote:Loose Canon wrote:EW - your "I'm kinda thinking someone in the thread may be mafia setting up associations with him" has raised my eyebrow.
Me, Chana, Rag, Sonic at face value gives you a 4 x house odds of being right.
But it also throws scattergun muck, maybe designed to attract townies thinking it sticks on one of us.
A bit too imprecise from you methinks.
I am specifically thinking of a mafia member posting because they are aware that Rob is now on a timer. Do you disagree that it feels like thread already knows he is scum? Do you notice that my posting, too, is setting up associations with a scum Rob flip now?
Anyway somewhere around 1 in 5 will be mafia, so my odds are still slightly lower than random!
Very skilfull mentalism tricks and exercises that use psychology and deduction to make it appear as though you are reading someone's mind. But we both now it's humbug galore

It's designed to be a scattergun and whoever thinks it's about him (as scum) will go in hiding thinking EW is on to me
Nice mixing in the real odds too (that around 1 in 5 will be mafia what nobody can deny but more important, everybody will agree on).
That said
Halrob has 50-50 odds flipping scum or town to me. Which is a higher scum % then others have (13 players). But all in all:
A: he was lurking big time at first hence the attraction he self-inflicted
B: then called upon ( and driven in a corner) he said he was "just away" (which can be true) but used by Ragian to highlight the possibility he is indeed scum
C: then he, Halrob, hinted he is a strong town figure (some think it's a ingame strong town PR role he hinted, i think its just global chat reference as he is a GC legend).
D: going silent submarine again
and that's it. Nothing more at this point. He is scum (3P included) or he is not. 50% odds. A basic yes / no scenario. But Halrob sure is everybody's point of entry at this stage.
The Theatre in the Theatre
FP by Chekov, i mean Halrob