DoomYoshi wrote:Naw, speculating about a third party is not saf's style, as far as I can tell. He was the one of the only people in Albarezzi who thought there was 2 factions, even when the hint for a third party was even more obvious than this. Granted, it is a pretty obvious hint, but it's mighty suspicious that he brought it to the attention of the town before anyone else did.
And what happened in Albarezzi? There were only 2 factions. I look at the number of players in the game first of all when I decide whether or not a third party is likely. Albarezzi had like what, 12 people? Any more than 1 mafia faction would have been really hard for the town to win. If you add an SKer, then there are potentially 2 night kills and it's LyLo much earlier in a small game.
With a game of this size, it's large enough to support third party and/or cult roles without endgaming too early. Add that to the hint dropped by the mod, and I concluded that it's likely there is a third party. It's one thing to not know about a third party because the mod didn't say anything about it, it's another to read the scene and ignore the clue given.
And if I may speak about your aversion to roleclaiming when pressured, that's really the whole point, especially day 1. While the chance that the cop or the doc is accidentally pressured into claiming, it's much more likely that the target isn't the cop or the doc. And if we by chance pressured the cop or the doc, what do you expect them to do? Say "I'm not mafia guys really! Please believe me!"
The main advantage of forcing of claim is that it puts mafia members on the spot. They most likely have to make up a claim, and this leads to two possibilities.
1. Someone has the same rolename or actual role, and counterclaims, leading to the lynch of the mafia member.
2. People buy the claim for the day, then the lie unravels as the mafia member has to make up night actions that may eventually lead to a logical fallacy, leading to the lynch of the mafia member.
Roleclaiming and voting patterns are the main way for us to gain information, it doesn't make sense to throw away half of it just because there's a small possibility of exposing the doc or the cop. There's also a small possibility that we uncover mafia as well.