Me too, that's why I don't trust the odds. Sometimes I roll according to the odds and that's cool, but I never roll better than the odds. Bad luck? I don't know...
Well, thanks all for spending time answering my questions.

and P.S. Lightning doesn't strike by random.

HA! I knew it. Something is influencing the odds when the number of forces grow.
What is it and how do it work?

btw either the gambit site is incorrect or I am being very unlucky. I am having a "cold war" in Game 3972062.
Two times I have attacked his forces now and calculated the odds with gambit ...

hehe, thanks for all the answers. That Gambit site was great.
However I just found a minor fault in my program. :roll: I wasn't reseting a certain variable, also I modified it to display odds of split and so on. Well this is my new results:

result after 1000000 fights with 3 attackers and 2 ...

The attacker will always have an advantage as long as the attacker rolls 3v2, 3v1 or 2v1.

3v2: 37.2% win, 33.6% tie, 29.3% loss
3v1: 66% win, 34% loss
2v1: 57.9% win, 42.1% loss
two 3dice v 1dice losses in a row are 11.6%

Are you sure the attacker always have an advantage statisticly? I thought ...