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a.sub wrote:I just lost a 40v1 in real life
f*ck real dice too!
AndyDufresne wrote:They have Auto-Assault in real life!?
--Andy
a.sub wrote:I just lost a 40v1 in real life
f*ck real dice too!
a.sub wrote:I just lost a 40v1 in real life
f*ck real dice too!
maasman wrote:I've played enough real life risk to know that this is believable
mibi wrote:a.sub wrote:I just lost a 40v1 in real life
f*ck real dice too!
I don't believe you. Your chance of success was 99.99999999999997%
Georgerx7di wrote:mibi wrote:a.sub wrote:I just lost a 40v1 in real life
f*ck real dice too!
I don't believe you. Your chance of success was 99.99999999999997%
20,000 people on this site. Each has probably played many risk games, during which you roll the dice many times. They are also playing with other people, who may not be on this site. So if you figure 4 to 5 players a game, then we're looking at 80,000 to 100,000 people. During the course of one game you roll the dice hundreds of times. So lets suppose that the average player on this site has played 10 games, with 4 other people who are not on this site. And lets suppose that each player rolls 100 times per game. Now we're at 100 million rolls. So i would be reasonable for something to happen where the odds were 1/100,000,000. Now your numbers are 1 in 333 billion. However, I used only 100 rolls per game for 10 games. It's possible that those numbers are highers. Maybe its 500 rolls per game, and 60 games. Now we're at 3 billion rolls between us on the site and people we played with. Throw in a little standard deviation, its not impossible.
Georgerx7di wrote:mibi wrote:a.sub wrote:I just lost a 40v1 in real life
f*ck real dice too!
I don't believe you. Your chance of success was 99.99999999999997%
20,000 people on this site. Each has probably played many risk games, during which you roll the dice many times. They are also playing with other people, who may not be on this site. So if you figure 4 to 5 players a game, then we're looking at 80,000 to 100,000 people. During the course of one game you roll the dice hundreds of times. So lets suppose that the average player on this site has played 10 games, with 4 other people who are not on this site. And lets suppose that each player rolls 100 times per game. Now we're at 100 million rolls. So i would be reasonable for something to happen where the odds were 1/100,000,000. Now your numbers are 1 in 333 billion. However, I used only 100 rolls per game for 10 games. It's possible that those numbers are highers. Maybe its 500 rolls per game, and 60 games. Now we're at 3 billion rolls between us on the site and people we played with. Throw in a little standard deviation, its not impossible.
Georgerx7di wrote: Now we're at 3 billion rolls between us on the site and people we played with. Throw in a little standard deviation, its not impossible.
mibi wrote:Georgerx7di wrote:mibi wrote:a.sub wrote:I just lost a 40v1 in real life
f*ck real dice too!
I don't believe you. Your chance of success was 99.99999999999997%
20,000 people on this site. Each has probably played many risk games, during which you roll the dice many times. They are also playing with other people, who may not be on this site. So if you figure 4 to 5 players a game, then we're looking at 80,000 to 100,000 people. During the course of one game you roll the dice hundreds of times. So lets suppose that the average player on this site has played 10 games, with 4 other people who are not on this site. And lets suppose that each player rolls 100 times per game. Now we're at 100 million rolls. So i would be reasonable for something to happen where the odds were 1/100,000,000. Now your numbers are 1 in 333 billion. However, I used only 100 rolls per game for 10 games. It's possible that those numbers are highers. Maybe its 500 rolls per game, and 60 games. Now we're at 3 billion rolls between us on the site and people we played with. Throw in a little standard deviation, its not impossible.
he talking real life, not CC. Roll 300 billion rolls in real life and your arm explodes.
mibi wrote:maasman wrote:I've played enough real life risk to know that this is believable
no you haven't, the odds are too small.
targetman377 wrote:it could happan i have seen some shit man i have seen some shit
sully800 wrote:Where did we get 1 in 333 billion? Just curious because I tried to check the math and got odds that are much worse
Chance of losing 3vs1 = 0.3403
Chance of losing 2vs1 = 0.4213
Chance of losing 1vs1 = 0.5833
0.3403^37*.4213*.5833 = 1.173*10^-18
Which translates to 1 in 8.52*10^17
Which translates to 1 in 852 quadrillion, or 1 in 852,000 trillion for those who only know trillion. Mistake? This seems unbelievably high...
Edit: Maybe he and 39 of his friends lost a fight against 1 dude....
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