Based on my expectations up until 90 days ago I'm very satisfied.
Within the last 90 days we started hearing all sorts of wild predictions: Washington's Senate seat would flip, the Democrats would lose 100 seats, Oregon would elect a Republican governor, etc. These were always ridiculous and - based on those predictions - last night was a total failure.
However, based on more sober expectations from January 2021 up until summer 2022, things went very, very well, in my opinion.
- We potentially have a 51/52-to-48/49 Senate majority with a guaranteed expansion in 2024.
- NBC News is projecting we'll control the House 222-213.
- Plus, 80% of the public still doesn't want Biden to run again in '24 - and yet he's now almost certain to do so, which is great for us ... provided (sad to say) Trump doesn't run.
Races I'm still watching:
- Arizona: Kari Lake (Governor) and Abe Hammudah (Attorney-General) will win if the current 60/40 split in late counted ballots continues, and Republicans will control both chambers of the legislature. Prop 309, the voter ID initiative, also may pass. If this all happens it will allow institutional advantages to be mixed into the voting system between now and 2024; the same thing Florida and Ohio have done that has essentially crushed the Democratic Party in those states.