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What will be the outcome of the 2022 elections?

Democrats Win House, Democrats Win Senate
3
21%
Democrats Win House, Republicans Win Senate
0
No votes
Democrats Win House, Split Senate
0
No votes
Republicans Win House, Democrats Win Senate
4
29%
Republicans Win House, Republicans Win Senate
7
50%
Republicans Win House, Split Senate
0
No votes
 
Total votes : 14

Re: 2022 Elections Thread

Postby mookiemcgee on Tue Oct 18, 2022 1:31 am

saxitoxin wrote:The fact that Herschel Walker - a guy who thinks the plastic toy police badge he has means he's an undercover detective - is within 2 points in polling against Warnock, frankly says more about the state of the Democratic Party than anything else.


The fact that Trump backed Dr Oz is LOSING in the polls to a vegetable says more about the state of the MAGA party than anything else
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Re: 2022 Elections Thread

Postby jimboston on Tue Oct 18, 2022 9:11 am

saxitoxin wrote:The fact that Herschel Walker - a guy who thinks the plastic toy police badge he has means he's an undercover detective - is within 2 points in polling against Warnock, frankly says more about the state of the Democratic Party than anything else.


Outside politics Walker is a HERO in Georgia with name recognition through the roof.
Him contending is not surprising.
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Re: 2022 Elections Thread

Postby jusplay4fun on Fri Oct 21, 2022 7:58 pm

I find this much more likely a scenario and from a much less biased source:

https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/3495831-trumps-vice-presidential-running-mate-for-2024/

Trump’s vice presidential running mate for 2024?
BY DOUGLAS MACKINNON, OPINION CONTRIBUTOR - 05/21/22 12:00 PM ET

Every day, more and more Republicans seem convinced that Donald Trump will run for president again in 2024 and secure the party’s nomination. If that happens, who might he select as his running mate? One logical candidate comes to mind: former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who was the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations during Trump’s administration.

Haley has elevated herself into the discussion of potential Republican presidential candidates for 2024. At least for me, realistic candidates include Trump, Haley, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and perhaps Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.), who gets kudos from the base while challenging the entrenched, elite GOP establishment in Washington.
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Re: 2022 Elections Thread

Postby jusplay4fun on Fri Oct 21, 2022 9:00 pm

jusplay4fun wrote:I find this much more likely a scenario and from a much less biased source:

https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/3495831-trumps-vice-presidential-running-mate-for-2024/

Trump’s vice presidential running mate for 2024?
BY DOUGLAS MACKINNON, OPINION CONTRIBUTOR - 05/21/22 12:00 PM ET

Every day, more and more Republicans seem convinced that Donald Trump will run for president again in 2024 and secure the party’s nomination. If that happens, who might he select as his running mate? One logical candidate comes to mind: former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who was the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations during Trump’s administration.

Haley has elevated herself into the discussion of potential Republican presidential candidates for 2024. At least for me, realistic candidates include Trump, Haley, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and perhaps Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.), who gets kudos from the base while challenging the entrenched, elite GOP establishment in Washington.


all opinions, and SO what? That election is two years away AND A LOT can change in 12 months. NO one saw COVID one year before the 2020 election, and THAT had a HUGE impact on the results. So we can argue who will be VP candidate and we are still NOT sure Trump will run, SO WHAT?

mookiemcgee wrote:first you posted an opinion piece, but call news reporting on what MGT 'said' as too biased to be believed because it's from an LBGT publication...

You criticize Robert Draper (NYT reporter) as being too biased to believe because he's writing a book about republicans... then you link to an article who's only quotes are from Maggie Haberman A NYT REPORTER WRITING A BOOK ABOUT REPUBLICANS (specifically about DONALD TRUMP BEING A CON MAN, per the title of the book CONFIDENCE MAN).

You're entitled to your opinion, if you are going to discount me as biased for sharing news reports at least come up with something better than exactly the same or worse sourcing.

If you have any reporting or sources saying i was wrong (Donald Trump is NOT considering Marjorie Taylor Greene as his 2024 running mate), now would be a great time to share it. If all you have is reports saying hes also considering other people, that doesn't really contradict anything I said.


And this really belongs in an election thread, 2022, or better yet, 2024. And for now, ALL opinions, and SO WHAT..??
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Re: 2022 Elections Thread

Postby mookiemcgee on Fri Oct 21, 2022 9:31 pm

You are posting in the wrong thread, and cross posting my quotes in the wrong thread. This is for 2022 elections.

I'm posting in the 'is America worth saving thread' because MTG as potential VP is directly tied to the title of that thread. If she is selected as VP and they win in 2024 America is not worth saving.
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Re: 2022 Elections Thread

Postby saxitoxin on Sat Oct 22, 2022 1:35 am

mookiemcgee wrote:If she is selected as VP and they win in 2024 America is not worth saving.


Correct ...

... BECAUSE IT WILL HAVE BEEN SAVED!!!

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Re: 2022 Elections Thread

Postby jimboston on Sat Oct 22, 2022 8:39 am

saxitoxin wrote:
mookiemcgee wrote:If she is selected as VP and they win in 2024 America is not worth saving.


Correct ...

... BECAUSE IT WILL HAVE BEEN SAVED!!!



Appropriate the video uses the gayest song ever.
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Re: 2022 Elections Thread

Postby saxitoxin on Tue Oct 25, 2022 1:53 pm

Nice! A new ad targeting the Rats over their use of the term Latinx for Latinos. Only 3% of Latinos use the term Latinx and the overwhelming majority are offended by its use. And yet the Rats insist liberal Anglo women in Boston be permitted to make unilateral amendments to the Spanish language to accommodate she-males.

Intersectionality is destroying the Democratic Party. They're trying to accommodate so many grievance groups that they're now finding some of these groups, in fact, have grievances against each other. The Grand Ol' Party can exploit the emerging fissures and drive a wedge into them to break off giant pieces of Rat constituencies.

"This is the word used by the radical Democrats who want to destroy our language and our culture."
funniest part at the end: "Democrats, Go to Hell-X!"



Republicans have cut the Rats' Latino advantage by 13 points in the last four years, part of an accelerating trend. If the current trendline keeps up, a majority of Latinos will be voting Republican in just 48 months. The Democratic Party is imploding.
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Re: 2022 Elections Thread

Postby saxitoxin on Tue Nov 08, 2022 12:58 am

The free and independent state of Missouri is refusing to permit United States Government elections observers be present at their polling places tomorrow. Biden is powerless to engage in voter intimidation.

https://twitter.com/MissouriSOS/status/ ... 2095183872
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Re: ELECTION DAY

Postby saxitoxin on Tue Nov 08, 2022 3:48 pm

In Maricopa County, Arizona -- which gave Biden the presidency in 2020 under dubious circumstances -- there are reports of massive voting machine "failures" in Republican-dominated precincts.

PHOENIX - Maricopa County officials say that around 20% of their polling sites are experiencing issues with tabulation machines across the Valley, just hours into Election Day.

https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/elect ... ting-sites


Gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is not taking this laying down. The government in Phoenix will be taken over tonight by the GOP regardless of whom the fraudulent regime claims won.

https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1 ... 7761610752

Other problems observed in Pennsylvania.

https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status ... 6204639232

Biden's goons are saying it could take "weeks" to count ballots (Brazil counted theirs in six hours).

The fix is in.
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Re: ELECTION DAY

Postby mookiemcgee on Tue Nov 08, 2022 4:05 pm

I agree with Saxi!!!

100% this entire election is rigged and fake. We should cancel and just keep everyone who's in office for another 2 years until we can sort things out and have truly free and fair elections again. Just like what Saxi wanted in 2020, but let's make it happen this time cus this election is the fake one, not 2020. Seems like we could have bipartisan consensus here since Saxi and me are on the same page.
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Re: ELECTION DAY

Postby saxitoxin on Tue Nov 08, 2022 5:12 pm

BIG SCALP!

Elaine Luria just lost her seat!

Luria is a member of the January 6th Committee.

3 down, 7 to go (until the committee is wiped out)

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Re: ELECTION DAY

Postby bigtoughralf on Tue Nov 08, 2022 6:44 pm

mookiemcgee wrote:I agree with Saxi!!!

100% this entire election is rigged and fake. We should cancel and just keep everyone who's in office for another 2 years until we can sort things out and have truly free and fair elections again. Just like what Saxi wanted in 2020, but let's make it happen this time cus this election is the fake one, not 2020. Seems like we could have bipartisan consensus here since Saxi and me are on the same page.


Didn't Clinton also say the Republicans are going to steal it?

If the Republicans steal the election from the Democrats and the Democrats steal it from the Republicans, where does it end up?
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Re: ELECTION DAY

Postby Dukasaur on Tue Nov 08, 2022 6:58 pm

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Re: ELECTION DAY

Postby saxitoxin on Tue Nov 08, 2022 7:07 pm

Mega MAGA Republican JAMES MOYLAN has been elected Non-Voting Delegate from Guam, beating the Speaker of the Guam Legislature, Won Pat, in a shock victory. Moylan is the first Republican elected from Guam in 40 years and only the second Republican elected to Congress from Guam since the conquest of Guam 124 years ago!

https://www.guampdn.com/news/moylan-def ... c4144.html

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BIG NEWS IN FLORIDA!

MSNBC just reported that Marco Rubio is beating Val Demings 53-46 in Miami-Dade County with most of the vote in ... in 2016, the Democrats won Miami-Dade by 30 points! Now they're losing by 7 points!
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Re: ELECTION DAY

Postby ConfederateSS on Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:13 am

---------- The Big, Big News....The Democrats held a couple of seats in Kansas....But all else in Farmland America, staying In Red Hands...So the Bread Basket of America looks to be staying safe....Still going to have an energy problem, growing and transporting food to the rest of the country... America has to stop the attack on fossil fuels...... O:) ConfederateSS.out!(The Blue and Silver Rebellion)... O:)
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Re: MAJOR GOP VICTORY!

Postby saxitoxin on Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:11 pm

THE GOOD

 We have probably taken control of the Senate and pushed the Rats into the minority. (Assuming Blake Masters takes Arizona, which is what the WaPo is now predicting.)
 We have probably taken control of the House of Representatives and pushed the Rats into the minority. (Need 3 more seats for the majority with 26 uncalled.)
 We took or retained between 26-28 of the 50 governorships.
 Florida and Ohio are no longer purple states. They are both solid red and are now out of play in 2024. In Florida, DeSantis won 60 of the 67 counties, including Miami-Dade which has a 70% Latino population.

THE BAD

 Republicans took majorities in all age groups (18-30, 31-44, 45-64, 65+) EXCEPT Gen Z. And, Gen Z had unusually high turnout for their age group. However, Gen Z's high turnout was probably generated by student debt forgiveness and the Dobbs decision. Those are missiles the Rats can only fire once.

THE UGLY

 Walker goes to a runoff in December in Georgia. He wins provided the Libertarian vote breaks 2:1 Republican.
 By not having a total blowout in congressional wins we're now all but guaranteed to have Biden as the Democratic nominee in 2024. Any mildly decent Republican candidate should be able to defeat an 81-year-old Biden after we put him through two years of congressional inquiries and use our levers of power in Congress and the judiciary to continue to tank the economy. Unfortunately, this may mean that Trump is not the right candidate in 2024.
Last edited by saxitoxin on Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: MAJOR GOP VICTORY!

Postby saxitoxin on Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:16 pm

The best part of the Senate win is that it comes with a guarantee that we hold the Senate for four years, instead of just two.

Every GOP seat up for election in 2024 is SAFE, except possibly Texas could be competitive since Ted Cruz is chronically unlikeable. But there is no competition in North Dakota, Wyoming, Nebraska, Missouri, Utah, Florida, Indiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee.

The Democrats have the following highly vulnerable seats in 2024: Montana, West Virginia, Ohio. They also have the following competitive seats: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona.

So in 2024 the GOP is guaranteed to expand its Senate majority and hold it until 2026.
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Re: MAJOR GOP VICTORY!

Postby saxitoxin on Wed Nov 09, 2022 7:27 pm

The NYSE and NASDAQ have tanked, Bitcoin is in freefall, and we have a (probably high) inflation report coming out tomorrow. Now that we control Congress we can juice the economic terror to make it last another two years regardless of anything Old Joe tries. If he attempts to end-run with executive orders, we'll stop him in our courts.

So in 2024 you have an 81 year-old rumored pedophile Biden presiding over a new Great Depression against a 50 year-old naval hero Ron DeSantis* offering to lift people out of 24 months of misery. I LIKE THOSE ODDS! =D> =D> =D>

* I'm not a fan of Ron DeSantis because he's a transactional politician who will be quick to barter in wars against the Arab world and Russia just like Bush, Biden, Obama, and Clinton. But he's okay as a transitional, holding candidate.
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Re: MAJOR GOP VICTORY!

Postby jusplay4fun on Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:27 pm

It is NOT quite the

MAJOR GOP VICTORY!


and certainly NOT the RED WAVE some predicted for the GOP on November 8 Election Day.

It looks to be a narrow edge in the US House of Reps, and the Senate is not yet decided.

2022 midterm election results
By Adrienne Vogt, Aditi Sangal, Mike Hayes, Elise Hammond and Maureen Chowdhury, CNN

Updated 8:20 p.m. ET, November 9, 2022

Control of the Senate and House still hangs in the balance: It's too early to call key races that could determine which party controls the chambers. There are three Senate races yet to be called in Nevada and Arizona, as well Georgia, which CNN projects will go to a runoff on Dec. 6

First Senate flip of the election: Democrat John Fetterman will win Pennsylvania's Senate seat, CNN projects, and defeat Trump-backed Republican Mehmet Oz. The pick up is a big boost to Democrats' hopes of clinging to the Senate.

Biden addresses the country: President Biden called the midterms a "good day for America," noting in Wednesday remarks that the "giant red wave" that was predicted didn't happen and that it's still possible that Democrats hold the House.
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Re: MAJOR GOP VICTORY!

Postby saxitoxin on Wed Nov 09, 2022 9:43 pm

Based on my expectations up until 90 days ago I'm very satisfied.

Within the last 90 days we started hearing all sorts of wild predictions: Washington's Senate seat would flip, the Democrats would lose 100 seats, Oregon would elect a Republican governor, etc. These were always ridiculous and - based on those predictions - last night was a total failure.

However, based on more sober expectations from January 2021 up until summer 2022, things went very, very well, in my opinion.

    - We potentially have a 51/52-to-48/49 Senate majority with a guaranteed expansion in 2024.
    - NBC News is projecting we'll control the House 222-213.
    - Plus, 80% of the public still doesn't want Biden to run again in '24 - and yet he's now almost certain to do so, which is great for us ... provided (sad to say) Trump doesn't run.

Races I'm still watching:

    - Arizona: Kari Lake (Governor) and Abe Hammudah (Attorney-General) will win if the current 60/40 split in late counted ballots continues, and Republicans will control both chambers of the legislature. Prop 309, the voter ID initiative, also may pass. If this all happens it will allow institutional advantages to be mixed into the voting system between now and 2024; the same thing Florida and Ohio have done that has essentially crushed the Democratic Party in those states.
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Re: MAJOR GOP VICTORY!

Postby saxitoxin on Thu Nov 10, 2022 12:47 am

This is an interesting exit poll. It turns out Democratic voters are just bitter women who desperately need to get banged. If the GOP wants to win in 2024 they need a get-out-the-vote effort called f*ck a Democrat. Volunteers can just go door-to-door offering to bulldoze embittered Democratic vag.

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Re: MAJOR GOP VICTORY!

Postby jusplay4fun on Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:55 am

Typical saxi, trying to spin the news as if his side won in A LANDSLIDE or RED WAVE: NOT.

A total of 25 Senate candidates and 162 House candidates endorsed by former President Donald Trump were on the ballot in the Nov. 8 midterm elections.

Eight other congressional candidates had also been endorsed by Trump but either lost their primary, dropped out of the race or did not appear on ballots for other reasons.

Among Trump’s Senate endorsees, the Associated Press has declared 17 winners.

There were also losers: Don Bolduc in New Hampshire, Gerald Malloy in Vermont and Leora Levy in Connecticut, all endorsed by Trump, lost their elections. Neither Malloy nor Levy was favored to win, but Bolduc’s race was more competitive, with a Cook Political Report (CPR) rating of lean Democratic.

The biggest blow was Republican Mehmet Oz’s 3.4-point loss to Democrat John Fetterman in Pennsylvania, which flipped that Senate seat blue. Trump endorsed Oz in April ahead of a crowded Republican primary, saying the decision was “all about winning elections.”

Three tossup Senate races have not yet been called by the AP. In each of those races, the Republican candidates were endorsed by Trump: Blake Masters in Arizona, Herschel Walker in Georgia and Adam Laxalt in Nevada. Laxalt currently leads by 3 points, with 75% of the vote reported, and Masters trails by 5 points, with 68% reported.


https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-how-candidates-endorsed-by-trump-performed-in-the-midterm-elections-11668031281

I would say that many Trump's backed candidates did not do very well. The Red wave did NOT happen and it appears that both Houses of Congress will be nearly evenly divided. Republicans are likely to control the House by a slim margin and the Senate, for now, is still a toss up and undecided.
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