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Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the US

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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby GreecePwns on Fri Jul 27, 2012 12:13 pm

I think Saxi's question has merit still. How can these Special Forces "control" a battlefield when said battlefield is a weapons manufacturing plant that they do not wish to do significant damage to?

I can only imagine that the weapons being held there would be seized by the time they get there (from Florida? I think it said Florida), and if need be the rebels could just rig the place with explosives as a last resort.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby saxitoxin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 12:13 pm

Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
Special Tactics is the US Air Force special operations ground force. Similar in ability and employment to MARSOC, Army Special Forces and Navy SEALs, Air Force Special Tactics personnel are typically the first to enter combat and often find themselves deep behind enemy lines in demanding, austere conditions, usually with little or no support. Due to the rigors of the job, Special Tactics yearlong training is one of the most demanding in the military, with attrition rates near 80 to 90 percent.


OK, I read your links. You win! The USAF's 3,000 "Special Tactics" troops will quash any rebellion in the U.S. and take affirmative control of 9 million square kilometers of territory. Using their Odyssean like strength, speed and cunning, each operator will hold-down 1,000 square kilometers from the rebels.


I already knew I was correct, so you're really wasting your time in trying so unsuccessfully to belittle my point.


In my OP, Woodruff, I was discussing how an insurgent force could overcome 1.2 million ground troops. Was I not 100% inclusive for failing to add in 3,000 USAF operators? Yes. Was I also inconclusive for not accounting for whatever SOC units the Coast Guard undoubtedly has? Sure. Does NOAA also have some kind of armed security element that could, potentially, be used to engage insurgents? I don't know but they very well might.

Do I feel, what was intended to be, a broadly stated point - versus an operational plan ready for execution - is mitigated at all for saying ~1,200,000 instead of ~1,203,012? Not really.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Phatscotty on Fri Jul 27, 2012 6:13 pm

BigBallinStalin wrote:I'm not sure if this is true, but I've heard that Ron Paul receives the most donations from US soldiers than any other president.


100% True. That's what these people who can't see 5 minutes in front of their face do not realize. WE are the military. The fact that we have so many lard-asses is just a by-product of mastering food production, distribution, markets. Mix that with Freedom and Liberty, and people are going to eat however much they want. Nobody is going to apologize for having too much food or eating until we are done eating in the face of centuries of starvation all around the world.

I am not ashamed that my countrymen have an overabundance of food. I am proud. We just need a little self control and a better parenting, and our people will get better as we take our country back in the Revolution.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Fri Jul 27, 2012 6:44 pm

GreecePwns wrote:I think Saxi's question has merit still. How can these Special Forces "control" a battlefield when said battlefield is a weapons manufacturing plant that they do not wish to do significant damage to?


The Air Force Special Forces are not at all just a destructive force. In fact, they quite often parachute into an area to secure, for instance, a runway.

GreecePwns wrote:I can only imagine that the weapons being held there would be seized by the time they get there (from Florida? I think it said Florida), and if need be the rebels could just rig the place with explosives as a last resort.


And the Special Forces guys wouldn't be aware of and prepared for that possibility?

Aside from the "ground troop" aspect, you guys are ignoring the vast array of tactics that don't directly "seize or hold territory" that the Air Force does in fact provide. I'm not sure why you all think that only ground troops are relevant to this sort of an activity. It's really quite confusing. Control of the air is in fact control of the battlefield.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Fri Jul 27, 2012 6:44 pm

saxitoxin wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
Special Tactics is the US Air Force special operations ground force. Similar in ability and employment to MARSOC, Army Special Forces and Navy SEALs, Air Force Special Tactics personnel are typically the first to enter combat and often find themselves deep behind enemy lines in demanding, austere conditions, usually with little or no support. Due to the rigors of the job, Special Tactics yearlong training is one of the most demanding in the military, with attrition rates near 80 to 90 percent.


OK, I read your links. You win! The USAF's 3,000 "Special Tactics" troops will quash any rebellion in the U.S. and take affirmative control of 9 million square kilometers of territory. Using their Odyssean like strength, speed and cunning, each operator will hold-down 1,000 square kilometers from the rebels.


I already knew I was correct, so you're really wasting your time in trying so unsuccessfully to belittle my point.


In my OP, Woodruff, I was discussing how an insurgent force could overcome 1.2 million ground troops. Was I not 100% inclusive for failing to add in 3,000 USAF operators? Yes. Was I also inconclusive for not accounting for whatever SOC units the Coast Guard undoubtedly has? Sure. Does NOAA also have some kind of armed security element that could, potentially, be used to engage insurgents? I don't know but they very well might.

Do I feel, what was intended to be, a broadly stated point - versus an operational plan ready for execution - is mitigated at all for saying ~1,200,000 instead of ~1,203,012? Not really.


Are you being either intentionally dishonest or fully lacking in tactical understanding? Absolutely.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Fri Jul 27, 2012 6:48 pm

Phatscotty wrote:
BigBallinStalin wrote:I'm not sure if this is true, but I've heard that Ron Paul receives the most donations from US soldiers than any other president.


100% True.


Yeah, I wouldn't be particularly surprised by this.

Phatscotty wrote:That's what these people who can't see 5 minutes in front of their face do not realize. WE are the military.


When you say stupid shit like this, it only makes me laugh. But it's nice that you get to include yourself like that.

Phatscotty wrote:I am not ashamed that my countrymen have an overabundance of food. I am proud. We just need a little self control and a better parenting, and our people will get better as we take our country back in the Revolution.


The idea of you as a Revolutionary brings to mind images of Fidel Castro's underlings. You're too busy pushing other people down to be part of an actual revolution "for the people".
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby saxitoxin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:02 pm

Woodruff, you're obviously obfuscating now and your service branch boasting has become distracting so I'm going to dismiss you at this time.

Anyway, for those interested, Dr. Edward Luttwak's book Coup d'Etat: a Practical Handbook. It's about 50 years old but you can still get used copies on eBay sometimes and, though it's designed for a military coup (they used it in Ghana and Suriname, IIRC) instead of a rebellion, still has interesting tactical insights and demonstrates the compounding vulnerability of modern armies and the ability of a weaker force to overcome numerical and technological superiority in a revolt.

The more sophisticated the organization, the greater its vulnerability. Insofar as we are trying to neutralize a formation of the armed forces, we should do so through the cooperation of technicians rather than leaders, because the former are more effective individually and easier (and safer) to recruit. The second rule is that we should choose for neutralization those units which have the most complex organization, while choosing the simplest ones for incorporation.


For instance, Luttwak points out that you could neutralize all 15,000 men of the 82nd Airborne Division by simply co-opting a few correctly placed Air Force sergeants in the Military Airlift Command. If a few flight line staff responsible for fueling aircraft don't show up to work on D-Day, rapid reaction forces may be not be able to race to the government's rescue in DC.

    ed: spelling
Last edited by saxitoxin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:07 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:05 pm

saxitoxin wrote:Woodruff, you're obviously obfuscating now and your service branch boasting has become distracting so I'm going to dismiss you at this time.


Of course you are. That's what you always do to those who correctly refute you. As I said a long time ago, I should have known better than to take you seriously.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby saxitoxin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:10 pm

Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:Woodruff, you're obviously obfuscating now and your service branch boasting has become distracting so I'm going to dismiss you at this time.


Of course you are. That's what you always do to those who correctly refute you. As I said a long time ago, I should have known better than to take you seriously.


Cranking the volume on Wild Blue Yonder to 11 does not constitute refutation. This isn't Falcon Stadium in November and I'm not the hated Army quarterback from which your boys are going to strip the pigskin. Your contributions so far have been unconstructive and ridiculous.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:14 pm

saxitoxin wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:Woodruff, you're obviously obfuscating now and your service branch boasting has become distracting so I'm going to dismiss you at this time.


Of course you are. That's what you always do to those who correctly refute you. As I said a long time ago, I should have known better than to take you seriously.


Cranking the volume on Wild Blue Yonder to 11 does not constitute refutation. This isn't Falcon Stadium in November and I'm not the hated Army quarterback from which your boys are going to strip the pigskin. Your contributions so far have been unconstructive and ridiculous.


Thank you for proving my point.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby saxitoxin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:21 pm

Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:Woodruff, you're obviously obfuscating now and your service branch boasting has become distracting so I'm going to dismiss you at this time.


Of course you are. That's what you always do to those who correctly refute you. As I said a long time ago, I should have known better than to take you seriously.


Cranking the volume on Wild Blue Yonder to 11 does not constitute refutation. This isn't Falcon Stadium in November and I'm not the hated Army quarterback from which your boys are going to strip the pigskin. Your contributions so far have been unconstructive and ridiculous.


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yes, yes, Woodruff - we're all paying attention to you
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby BigBallinStalin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:22 pm

I want to change the direction of the US Air Force debate, so the following is directed not just at Woodruff (whose opinions are insightful in these matters) but also at you other people.. yes, you.

(sax, be nice. You're polluting my thread too much).

Woodruff wrote:
GreecePwns wrote:I think Saxi's question has merit still. How can these Special Forces "control" a battlefield when said battlefield is a weapons manufacturing plant that they do not wish to do significant damage to?


The Air Force Special Forces are not at all just a destructive force. In fact, they quite often parachute into an area to secure, for instance, a runway.

GreecePwns wrote:I can only imagine that the weapons being held there would be seized by the time they get there (from Florida? I think it said Florida), and if need be the rebels could just rig the place with explosives as a last resort.


And the Special Forces guys wouldn't be aware of and prepared for that possibility?

Aside from the "ground troop" aspect, you guys are ignoring the vast array of tactics that don't directly "seize or hold territory" that the Air Force does in fact provide. I'm not sure why you all think that only ground troops are relevant to this sort of an activity. It's really quite confusing. Control of the air is in fact control of the battlefield.


(1) In regard to aerial reconnaissance, I mostly agree with you.

(2) It would depend on the aircraft's (acceptable) uses.

Strategic bombing
(2a) WW2, bombing civilians didn't seem very effective in reducing the morale of the enemy. (possible exception: nuking civilians + a few military and industry)
(2b) WW2, bombing economic infrastructure seemed very effective (as I far as I can recall), yet many civilians are killed in the process, so again there's the issue of it being acceptable.

(2c) Vietnam, I've heard good arguments for and against the actual effectiveness of US air power and its capability to win the war for the US, so I'm not sure.

(2d) Persian Gulf War. Worked like a charm, so this suggests that resistance groups in dry, arid regions would be out of luck. Heavily forested regions (vietnam)? Maybe. Mountainous areas (Afghanistan, Yemen, Pakistan)? Perhaps not.

Criticisms with strategic bombing also apply to air interdiction (namely, targeting supply lines, but not so much against troop movements). Why supply lines? In guerrilla wars, the line between soldier and civilian in the role of supplying is very vague.


Close air support/tactical bombing:
This is probably where air superiority would be most effective, and most acceptable in regard to minimizing civilian casualties. Yet, from what I recall, the risks of incurring more losses are higher (depending on the rebels' weaponry, Stinger missiles? or other MANPADS?)

--I'm beginning to think that foreign "aid" would be necessary for the rebels' success.


So, a few questions:

(1) Would CAS be the most effective for the US government? And... how effective?

(2) How necessary is aerial intel versus ground intel? As in, if the US is deficient in ground intel (due to resistant local civilians), would the benefits of aerial intel (satellites included) offset this imbalance?

(3) During a revolution, how much in revenue could the US print and collect from the population?
---US has plenty of money for the Iraq II and Afghanistan wars, and after ten years, the results are inconclusive--and that's with a local population being generally resentful and against US intervention or at least prolonged occupation. And with US/ISAF soldiers "dealing" with non-Americans.

(4) Assuming that UAVs are part of the air force (and not CIA's pet project), how would this change the game--in regard to debate about US Air Forces?)
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby GBU56 on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:23 pm

Phatscotty wrote:
BigBallinStalin wrote:I'm not sure if this is true, but I've heard that Ron Paul receives the most donations from US soldiers than any other president.


100% True. That's what these people who can't see 5 minutes in front of their face do not realize. WE are the military. The fact that we have so many lard-asses is just a by-product of mastering food production, distribution, markets. Mix that with Freedom and Liberty, and people are going to eat however much they want. Nobody is going to apologize for having too much food or eating until we are done eating in the face of centuries of starvation all around the world.

I am not ashamed that my countrymen have an overabundance of food. I am proud. We just need a little self control and a better parenting, and our people will get better as we take our country back in the Revolution.


Leave it to the Ron Paul fear mongerers to wish a real revolution of blood and terror upon the over-eaters of America.

I'm gonna start cleaning up all this garbage [Ron Paul campaign signs] and start burning them. Nobody is going to get between me and my fast food.

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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby BigBallinStalin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:26 pm

saxitoxin wrote:In my OP, Woodruff, I was discussing how an insurgent force could overcome 1.2 million ground troops. Was I not 100% inclusive for failing to add in 3,000 USAF operators? Yes. Was I also inconclusive for not accounting for whatever SOC units the Coast Guard undoubtedly has? Sure. Does NOAA also have some kind of armed security element that could, potentially, be used to engage insurgents? I don't know but they very well might.

Do I feel, what was intended to be, a broadly stated point - versus an operational plan ready for execution - is mitigated at all for saying ~1,200,000 instead of ~1,203,012? Not really.


Sax, aggregating numbers like that to estimate effectiveness and power would lead to false conclusions.

viewtopic.php?f=8&t=175379&start=60#p3835701
explains why--to a degree.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby saxitoxin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:45 pm

BigBallinStalin wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:In my OP, Woodruff, I was discussing how an insurgent force could overcome 1.2 million ground troops. Was I not 100% inclusive for failing to add in 3,000 USAF operators? Yes. Was I also inconclusive for not accounting for whatever SOC units the Coast Guard undoubtedly has? Sure. Does NOAA also have some kind of armed security element that could, potentially, be used to engage insurgents? I don't know but they very well might.

Do I feel, what was intended to be, a broadly stated point - versus an operational plan ready for execution - is mitigated at all for saying ~1,200,000 instead of ~1,203,012? Not really.


Sax, aggregating numbers like that to estimate effectiveness and power would lead to false conclusions.


That's correct. Your average U.S. Army infantryman is more effective than 20 armed civilians.

So, an insurrection should not attempt to engage the U.S. military in a set-piece battle.

Some method of neutralizing the Army and Marines would first be necessary through civil action, which is a tactic available to a domestic rebellion that adversaries in foreign wars can't employ. The example I gave was a police strike, but it could be any number of things.

    Once the Army and Marines have been neutralized, the Air Force is de facto neutralized since the third word in Close Air Support is "support" - if there's nothing on the ground to support there's no CAS. On a macro scale, the only other thing the USAF brings to the table, strategic bombing, won't be used by the USG because its first goal will be conservation of capital.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:51 pm

BigBallinStalin wrote:
Woodruff wrote:IAside from the "ground troop" aspect, you guys are ignoring the vast array of tactics that don't directly "seize or hold territory" that the Air Force does in fact provide. I'm not sure why you all think that only ground troops are relevant to this sort of an activity. It's really quite confusing. Control of the air is in fact control of the battlefield.


(1) In regard to aerial reconnaissance, I mostly agree with you.
(2) It would depend on the aircraft's (acceptable) uses.


Yes, if you're speaking only of a specific type of use of aircraft, rather than the overarching multiple uses. I think you're recognizing this, but just in case..."control of the air" doesn't have anything to do with a specific aircraft. What it means is that you have free reign to do as you will in the air, and the enemy has little to no ability to do anything in the air.

Therefore, if you control the air, you have almost all of the recent reconnaissance information, you have almost all of the ability to react quickly to a changing battlefield, you have almost all of the ability to interdict opposing forces, you have almost all of the ability to enact softening of the opposition's defenses, etc...you see my point.

BigBallinStalin wrote:(1) Would CAS be the most effective for the US government? And... how effective?


Depends on the location/terrain and the defenses of the opposition. As you mention, if the opposition has access to AA weaponry, this becomes much more problematic, especially in mountainous or heavily forested areas.

BigBallinStalin wrote:(2) How necessary is aerial intel versus ground intel? As in, if the US is deficient in ground intel (due to resistant local civilians), would the benefits of aerial intel (satellites included) offset this imbalance?


In my opinion, they are both pretty important. There are things that can be discovered "boots on the ground" that simply won't be via the air. So I would say that the aerial reconnaissance provides much more of a "broad overview" type of view while ground intel provides more of a specific view of things ("here are a group of buildings" versus "this building is the HQ building"). So it really depends on which type of intel is needed.

BigBallinStalin wrote:(3) During a revolution, how much in revenue could the US print and collect from the population?
---US has plenty of money for the Iraq II and Afghanistan wars, and after ten years, the results are inconclusive--and that's with a local population being generally resentful and against US intervention or at least prolonged occupation. And with US/ISAF soldiers "dealing" with non-Americans.


I can only assume it would be dramatically reduced, given that they would only be collecting from the governmental sympathizers.

BigBallinStalin wrote:(4) Assuming that UAVs are part of the air force (and not CIA's pet project), how would this change the game--in regard to debate about US Air Forces?)


Intelligence becomes far more effective, in my opinion. CAS becomes far more "specific", as well, which can be very useful in some circumstances. UAV's are absolutely part of the Air Force, and becoming widely used.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Fri Jul 27, 2012 7:53 pm

saxitoxin wrote:
BigBallinStalin wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:In my OP, Woodruff, I was discussing how an insurgent force could overcome 1.2 million ground troops. Was I not 100% inclusive for failing to add in 3,000 USAF operators? Yes. Was I also inconclusive for not accounting for whatever SOC units the Coast Guard undoubtedly has? Sure. Does NOAA also have some kind of armed security element that could, potentially, be used to engage insurgents? I don't know but they very well might.

Do I feel, what was intended to be, a broadly stated point - versus an operational plan ready for execution - is mitigated at all for saying ~1,200,000 instead of ~1,203,012? Not really.


Sax, aggregating numbers like that to estimate effectiveness and power would lead to false conclusions.


That's correct. Your average U.S. Army infantryman is more effective than 20 armed civilians.

So, an insurrection should not attempt to engage the U.S. military in a set-piece battle.

Some method of neutralizing the Army and Marines would first be necessary through civil action, which is a tactic available to a domestic rebellion that adversaries in foreign wars can't employ. The example I gave was a police strike, but it could be any number of things.

    Once the Army and Marines have been neutralized, the Air Force is de facto neutralized since the third word in Close Air Support is "support" - if there's nothing on the ground to support there's no CAS. On a macro scale, the only other thing the USAF brings to the table, strategic bombing, won't be used by the USG because its first goal will be conservation of capital.


Your view of the importance of intelligence-gathering is seriously flawed.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby saxitoxin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 8:02 pm

Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:
BigBallinStalin wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:In my OP, Woodruff, I was discussing how an insurgent force could overcome 1.2 million ground troops. Was I not 100% inclusive for failing to add in 3,000 USAF operators? Yes. Was I also inconclusive for not accounting for whatever SOC units the Coast Guard undoubtedly has? Sure. Does NOAA also have some kind of armed security element that could, potentially, be used to engage insurgents? I don't know but they very well might.

Do I feel, what was intended to be, a broadly stated point - versus an operational plan ready for execution - is mitigated at all for saying ~1,200,000 instead of ~1,203,012? Not really.


Sax, aggregating numbers like that to estimate effectiveness and power would lead to false conclusions.


That's correct. Your average U.S. Army infantryman is more effective than 20 armed civilians.

So, an insurrection should not attempt to engage the U.S. military in a set-piece battle.

Some method of neutralizing the Army and Marines would first be necessary through civil action, which is a tactic available to a domestic rebellion that adversaries in foreign wars can't employ. The example I gave was a police strike, but it could be any number of things.

    Once the Army and Marines have been neutralized, the Air Force is de facto neutralized since the third word in Close Air Support is "support" - if there's nothing on the ground to support there's no CAS. On a macro scale, the only other thing the USAF brings to the table, strategic bombing, won't be used by the USG because its first goal will be conservation of capital.


Your view of the importance of intelligence-gathering is seriously flawed.


What is the ultimate purpose of intelligence?

(a) information for the sake of having it, or, (b) information to facilitate action

answer: "B"

High-res aerial photos of rebels holding the Boeing Wichita plant are totally useless if there are no assets available to engage those rebels; which is the point of neutralizing government ground forces before beginning direct action.

    I sincerely don't know how to make this clearer or more concise since this is a question you keep bringing up and, when a rational answer is proffered, respond with a maniacal, screamed insult.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Fri Jul 27, 2012 8:14 pm

saxitoxin wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:
BigBallinStalin wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:In my OP, Woodruff, I was discussing how an insurgent force could overcome 1.2 million ground troops. Was I not 100% inclusive for failing to add in 3,000 USAF operators? Yes. Was I also inconclusive for not accounting for whatever SOC units the Coast Guard undoubtedly has? Sure. Does NOAA also have some kind of armed security element that could, potentially, be used to engage insurgents? I don't know but they very well might.

Do I feel, what was intended to be, a broadly stated point - versus an operational plan ready for execution - is mitigated at all for saying ~1,200,000 instead of ~1,203,012? Not really.


Sax, aggregating numbers like that to estimate effectiveness and power would lead to false conclusions.


That's correct. Your average U.S. Army infantryman is more effective than 20 armed civilians.

So, an insurrection should not attempt to engage the U.S. military in a set-piece battle.

Some method of neutralizing the Army and Marines would first be necessary through civil action, which is a tactic available to a domestic rebellion that adversaries in foreign wars can't employ. The example I gave was a police strike, but it could be any number of things.

    Once the Army and Marines have been neutralized, the Air Force is de facto neutralized since the third word in Close Air Support is "support" - if there's nothing on the ground to support there's no CAS. On a macro scale, the only other thing the USAF brings to the table, strategic bombing, won't be used by the USG because its first goal will be conservation of capital.


Your view of the importance of intelligence-gathering is seriously flawed.


What is the ultimate purpose of intelligence?

(a) information for the sake of having it, or, (b) information to facilitate action

answer: "B"

High-res aerial photos of rebels holding the Boeing Wichita plant are totally useless if there are no assets available to engage those rebels; which is the point of neutralizing government ground forces before beginning direct action.

    I sincerely don't know how to make this clearer or more concise since this is a question you keep bringing up and, when a rational answer is proffered, respond with a maniacal, screamed insult.


Your willingness to continue to overstate this simply shows your desperation to prove that I'm wrong regarding your claims, when I'm not. You should just stop now. Seriously.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby saxitoxin on Fri Jul 27, 2012 8:16 pm

Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:
BigBallinStalin wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:In my OP, Woodruff, I was discussing how an insurgent force could overcome 1.2 million ground troops. Was I not 100% inclusive for failing to add in 3,000 USAF operators? Yes. Was I also inconclusive for not accounting for whatever SOC units the Coast Guard undoubtedly has? Sure. Does NOAA also have some kind of armed security element that could, potentially, be used to engage insurgents? I don't know but they very well might.

Do I feel, what was intended to be, a broadly stated point - versus an operational plan ready for execution - is mitigated at all for saying ~1,200,000 instead of ~1,203,012? Not really.


Sax, aggregating numbers like that to estimate effectiveness and power would lead to false conclusions.


That's correct. Your average U.S. Army infantryman is more effective than 20 armed civilians.

So, an insurrection should not attempt to engage the U.S. military in a set-piece battle.

Some method of neutralizing the Army and Marines would first be necessary through civil action, which is a tactic available to a domestic rebellion that adversaries in foreign wars can't employ. The example I gave was a police strike, but it could be any number of things.

    Once the Army and Marines have been neutralized, the Air Force is de facto neutralized since the third word in Close Air Support is "support" - if there's nothing on the ground to support there's no CAS. On a macro scale, the only other thing the USAF brings to the table, strategic bombing, won't be used by the USG because its first goal will be conservation of capital.


Your view of the importance of intelligence-gathering is seriously flawed.


What is the ultimate purpose of intelligence?

(a) information for the sake of having it, or, (b) information to facilitate action

answer: "B"

High-res aerial photos of rebels holding the Boeing Wichita plant are totally useless if there are no assets available to engage those rebels; which is the point of neutralizing government ground forces before beginning direct action.

    I sincerely don't know how to make this clearer or more concise since this is a question you keep bringing up and, when a rational answer is proffered, respond with a maniacal, screamed insult.


Your willingness to continue to overstate this simply shows your desperation to prove that I'm wrong regarding your claims, when I'm not. You should just stop now. Seriously.


yep, like that

comment 1: X+Y=Z
comment 2: I don't actually have a counter-argument to present but you're wrong and you're stupid and I'm going to keep screaming that until I drown you out.

Anyway, Woodruff's irrational obstinance is fairly doctrinal USAF head-in-the-sand acrobatics. I understand most of this is what he's been told and, on the basis, he trusts it's true even if he has been - thus far - unable to articulate why it's true.

Pack Rat wrote:if it quacks like a duck and walk like a duck, it's still fascism

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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Sat Jul 28, 2012 12:26 am

saxitoxin wrote:Anyway, Woodruff's irrational obstinance is fairly doctrinal USAF head-in-the-sand acrobatics. I understand most of this is what he's been told and, on the basis, he trusts it's true even if he has been - thus far - unable to articulate why it's true.


Frankly, I have articulated it quite well. You seem to be the only one having difficulty with it. It is you who seems to be clinging to an irrational obstinance. You should work on that.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby saxitoxin on Sat Jul 28, 2012 3:07 pm

Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:Anyway, Woodruff's irrational obstinance is fairly doctrinal USAF head-in-the-sand acrobatics. I understand most of this is what he's been told and, on the basis, he trusts it's true even if he has been - thus far - unable to articulate why it's true.


Frankly, I have articulated it quite well. You seem to be the only one having difficulty with it. It is you who seems to be clinging to an irrational obstinance. You should work on that.


Woodruff, this -

    Saxi: What is the ultimate purpose of intelligence?
    Woodruff: Your willingness to continue to overstate this simply shows your desperation to prove that I'm wrong regarding your claims, when I'm not. You should just stop now.
- does not constitute articulation of reasoning.

You have, thus far, been unable or unwilling to articulate an answer to the simplest of questions regarding the utility of intelligence in the absence of a means of actualizing intelligence; you just scream and shout "YOU'RE WRONG!", louder and louder. I understand the reason for this. You have a technician-level understanding. You have been told an answer but have not been explained the theory behind the answer so are unable to cognate beyond the operational situations outlined by whatever Field Manual you're quoting.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby puppydog85 on Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:04 pm

Stalin, just a quick note. I heard from a respected Air Force researcher (Jeffrey Ethell, but again in air force matters I bow to Woodruff) that the Air Force was vastly underused in Vietnam.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby Woodruff on Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:05 pm

saxitoxin wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
saxitoxin wrote:Anyway, Woodruff's irrational obstinance is fairly doctrinal USAF head-in-the-sand acrobatics. I understand most of this is what he's been told and, on the basis, he trusts it's true even if he has been - thus far - unable to articulate why it's true.


Frankly, I have articulated it quite well. You seem to be the only one having difficulty with it. It is you who seems to be clinging to an irrational obstinance. You should work on that.


Woodruff, this -

    Saxi: What is the ultimate purpose of intelligence?
    Woodruff: Your willingness to continue to overstate this simply shows your desperation to prove that I'm wrong regarding your claims, when I'm not. You should just stop now.
- does not constitute articulation of reasoning.

You have, thus far, been unable or unwilling to articulate an answer to the simplest of questions regarding the utility of intelligence in the absence of a means of actualizing intelligence; you just scream and shout "YOU'RE WRONG!", louder and louder. I understand the reason for this. You have a technician-level understanding. You have been told an answer but have not been explained the theory behind the answer so are unable to cognate beyond the operational situations outlined by whatever Field Manual you're quoting.


Please stop the trolling. It's quite ridiculous.
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Re: Conjecture Zone: Future American Revolution Against the

Postby puppydog85 on Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:08 pm

Woodruff,

I am thinking for some reason that the AT-10 Warthog was the best troop support airplane we have.
I was further thinking that the National Guard was in charge of those.

Am I right on those two thoughts?
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