Let us review a prediction by wonderful saxi
by saxitoxin on Wed Feb 23, 2022 8:24 pm
This is a great move by Putin and actually will lead to peace.
There is no way the Donbas is ever going back to Ukraine. That's a simple fact of life. It will never happen.
Once we accept that, then all we're left with is an endless low intensity war that kills a few hundred people every year for no reason in small-scale skirmishes between Donbas separatists and Ukrainian forces.
With the Russian Army on the ground in the Donbas that low intensity war is now over. The Ukrainians aren't going to try to plow through Russian lines.
Literally nothing has changed with the Russian intervention except 600-700 people won't die this year, 600-700 people won't die next year, and 600-700 people won't die the year after.
No, now we have 600-700 people die per week. Thank goodness we have less bloodshed.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61987945There are lots of graphs trying to provide accurate data.
How many soldiers have died?
The number of soldiers dying is sensitive information and shapes the story of how the war is going for both sides, Gavin Crowden, of casualty-recording organisation Every Casualty Counts, says.
"That is something that both sides will be very conscious of," he says.
Ukraine has given no official total of soldiers killed during the war.
But in early June, a senior Ukrainian presidential aide told BBC News 100-200 Ukrainian solders were dying in the Donbas region every day.
In April, Russia said it had killed about 23,000 Ukrainian troops.
Russia rarely discloses its own troop fatalities.
Its most recent death count was on 25 March, when it said 1,351 Russian soldiers had died since the invasion began.
In April, the UK government said about 15,000 Russian soldiers had died.
Ukraine regularly releases figures on Russian military deaths, claiming about 35,000 Russians had died as of late June.
None of these claims can be verified.
The UN has said it does not consider figures released by those involved in the conflict to be reliable.