tzor wrote:Well if you are going to convict CO2 for all our worries, I would like to convict him beyond a reasonable doubt as in any proper court of law. Unfortunately, it's worse than a reasonable doubt, the prosecution has only bought circumstantial evidence to the court room.
CO2 is hardly the only culprit, but since it is clearly a massive one, it is a logical place to start. Especially since it is the one that is predicted to rise the most and is the one we have the most control over. Also, your analogy is faulty. The prosecution is not looking to convict and imprison C02, merely put a restraining order on it. For that circumstantial evidence is beyond adequate. Further, circumstantial evidence is in fact used to convict people beyond a reasonable doubt, especially when you call it circumstantial, and others see it as hard irrefutable evidence. Your labeling it, as many defense attorneys often do with evidence as circumstantial does not make it so, and the best juries typically see right through it.
tzor wrote:More over, as I look through the various history books on subjects unrelated to global warming, I realize that we have been getting better all the time, not worse. While the population has been increasing, our use of combustion has been getting more and more efficient. Roll everything back to the 18th century and the colonists who were extracting iron ore from the Catskill Mountains were leveling whole sides of mountains to provide the wood fuel for the smelting and made the entire sky so black that you could not see the sun in the middle of the day. Roll back even further and you see the near deforrestation of Europe in the Middle Ages because of the great love for hot baths. (Bathing was only taboo in later centuries.)
Efficiency means nothing. If the total output is still too much, the fact that its a little lower will mean nothing. Further, basing our decisions based upon the fact that people made mistakes in the 18th Century is just pointless, not to mention silly. It should in fact inspire us to not make the same mistakes, not make us indifferent, because they made mistakes then.
tzor wrote:Remember it was only a few decades ago that the great satan molecule was methane and how the so called "hard" science fiction program Seaquest DSV was predicting that all the cows would have to be slaughtered and cattle growing forever banned in order to prevent global warming. Now methane is hardly talked about, even though global warming technically has the potential to release tons of methane in frozen permasoil.
You say methane is hardly talked about, but anyone seriously discussing global warming understands the impact of methane fully. Certainly any model shows the multiple sources of methane such as the permafrost, the oceans, and lakes that have millions of metric tons suspended in them. Ill simply ignore the debunking of sequest DSV science, since its laughable. Ive seen Star Trek make a few predictions too, such as aliens coming to blow up the planet because we killed all the whales. Im all for preserving the whales, but its really more of an environmental issue and I never really took the fictional show, as anything more.
tzor wrote:That said, there is "reasonable doubt" and that solar wind effects which could impact cosmic rays that are responsible for cloud formation could play a stronger influence on global temperatures than CO2. The data tracks far better.
The fact that there are other forces and factors, which of course there are, does not mean we get to ignore a source that is controllable. Further, solar wind is a natural process on which we currently have no control. We have direct control over our C02 production. People die of many diseases that are incurable, but that does not mean we dont try to cure the small ones too. In fact, those are the ones we sometimes spend the most time trying to cure.
tzor wrote:By all means, let's reduce fossil fuel use. Let's have a solar panel on every house roof, (or perhaps some nice green grass) and windmills to capture the wind. Let's have smaller fuel efficient transportation systems. There are lots of reasons to do this that have nothing to do with global warming. Let us even be prapared for the possibility that global warming might be long term. (In the middle east they are wroking on the idea of whole floating islands; a unique solution for all locations that are prone to natural flooding or could have problems if ocean levels rise.)
Clearly very sound reasoning. There the cost of being wrong, (money) vs the cost of being right(millions of lives) is in calculable.
tzor wrote:And this is the inverted pascall's wager. If we blindly assume that global warming is caused by CO2 and not only it isn't but the cause is really long term then we just spent billions of dollars and man hours for nothing. ("The goggles! They do nothing!") While we could have spent that money preparing for not only this potential disaster but other disasters that occur all the time that have nothing to do with global warming or cooling.
Again, you seem prepared to blindly wager the lives of perhaps the entire human race, becuase you arent sure the scientists, who you say are acting blindly....who some have actually dedicated their lives to studying the situation and possible solutions, and usually at a sacrifice and for the main goal of helping the human race...arent convinced they are 100% correct. That is a hefty wager you are suggesting we make. You may save us some bucks, but if youre wrong, the bill is going to be a tad bit larger, and Ill make my own wager, that you wont be able to pay up on this one.
tzor wrote:CO2 causes global warming is merely a crack dictor's unproven "cure" for an ailment which may or may not be long term. Someone just wants to sell us snake oil and the majority are buying it hook, line and sinker.
Its also possible that CO2 is killing us, and these so called crack dictors (thousands of scientists around the world) are trying to develop antibiotics and vaccines, and like many naive people, you are refusing to take it, and will subsequently will die, from very curable diseases. Luckily in this case, they are working hard to protect you despite your naivety.