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spoils probability

Postby The Fire Knight on Wed Apr 07, 2010 9:33 pm

This doesn't make much of a difference for escalating, nuclear, and no spoils, but it does for flat spoils. I just played a flat spoils game and learned that a mixed set is worth 10, a red one 4, a green one 6, and a blue one 8. Now does anyone know about spoils probabilities? Is it all just random? Or are blue's rarer? Or are they only rarer on flat spoils? And can two people have a spoil card of the same country?
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Re: spoils probability

Postby spiesr on Thu Apr 08, 2010 8:42 am

Whenever a card is drawn there are equal chances of it being every color. Even if a card of the same name was drawn with a different color previously.
The Fire Knight wrote:And can two people have a spoil card of the same country?
Yes
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Re: spoils probability

Postby pmchugh on Thu Apr 08, 2010 9:35 am

3 cards:

Set 1/3
Mixed 2/9
Blue 1/27
Green 1/27
Red 1/27

4 Cards:
Set 7/9

Cant be bothered thinking any further than that.
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Re: spoils probability

Postby sherkaner on Thu Apr 08, 2010 11:55 am

4 Cards:
Chance of a set if you did not have a set at 3 cards: 2/3 (1/3 mixed set, 1/3 same color set)

5 Cards: you can hand in 1 set

I once did the calculation for 6 and 7 cards, with 7 cards it's quite unlikely not to have 2 sets if I remember correctly. With 8 you definately have 2 sets again.
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Re: spoils probability

Postby ask me2 on Thu Apr 08, 2010 6:11 pm

5 card it's 10/10 to have a set
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Re: spoils probability

Postby Artic patrol on Thu Apr 08, 2010 6:54 pm

ask me2 wrote:5 card it's 10/10 to have a set

Haha! :lol:
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Re: spoils probability

Postby darth emperor on Thu Apr 08, 2010 7:25 pm

Artic patrol wrote:
ask me2 wrote:5 card it's 10/10 to have a set

Haha! :lol:

sure??not kidding??




Anyway is not so sure...you can have the 5th card as no colour card(remeber the bug of 10th march)
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Re: spoils probability

Postby The Fire Knight on Thu Apr 08, 2010 8:09 pm

[quote="spiesr"]Whenever a card is drawn there are equal chances of it being every color. Even if a card of the same name was drawn with a different color previously.

Ah. Thanks. That will probable be the last time that I play a flat rate spoils game then.
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Postby Lionz on Thu Apr 08, 2010 9:07 pm

Two different players can have a card of the same territory? I've never taken someone out and ended up with two cards of the same one maybe.
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Re:

Postby spiesr on Thu Apr 08, 2010 9:51 pm

Lionz wrote:Two different players can have a card of the same territory? I've never taken someone out and ended up with two cards of the same one maybe.
Play more 8 player Doodle Earth...
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Re: spoils probability

Postby natty dread on Fri Apr 09, 2010 7:43 am

...maybe.
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Re: spoils probability

Postby Artic patrol on Fri Apr 09, 2010 6:21 pm

darth emperor wrote:
Artic patrol wrote:
ask me2 wrote:5 card it's 10/10 to have a set

Haha! :lol:

sure??not kidding??




Anyway is not so sure...you can have the 5th card as no colour card(remeber the bug of 10th march)

Yeah ask me2 are you sure you are not kidding?
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Re: spoils probability

Postby theBastard on Thu Apr 15, 2010 5:38 pm

in this game http://www.conquerclub.com/game.php?game=6769595 I had three green spoils and gain 4 units. another player had also three green spoils and gain 6 units. why? I think it should be the same...
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Re: spoils probability

Postby Blinkadyblink on Thu Apr 15, 2010 7:26 pm

theBastard wrote:in this game http://www.conquerclub.com/game.php?game=6769595 I had three green spoils and gain 4 units. another player had also three green spoils and gain 6 units. why? I think it should be the same...


That's an escalating game. The first set, no matter what color it is, gets 4 troops, the next one gets 6 troops and it keeps on going up. In a flat rate game, all sets of the same color are worth the same amount.
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Re: spoils probability

Postby theBastard on Fri Apr 16, 2010 12:28 am

hm, thanks for answer. I just only learn how games goes.
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