HA's 200th Tourney (Josko.ri Wins)

by **SirSebstar** on Tue Apr 05, 2011 7:45 am

yes i am

by **HighlanderAttack** on Tue Apr 05, 2011 9:25 am

9-0 Club starting round 4

Snoogins
Von Kaiser
Fairman
Greeley Crow
Stickse
Briggs1209

by **Frued1** on Tue Apr 05, 2011 10:17 am

A good start, but at this rate, there's going to be, like 100 rounds, so there might maybe be time to catch up

by **ImperialDragon** on Tue Apr 05, 2011 3:16 pm

>>
There weren't that many post on your wall(5) so I felt it was okay to express my desire to hunt down the mole.
Sorry for adding to the mess.

by **Rodion** on Tue Apr 05, 2011 3:37 pm

HighlanderAttack wrote:9-0 Club starting round 4

Snoogins
Von Kaiser
Fairman
Greeley Crow
Stickse
Briggs1209

Snoogins didn't play round 4 games yet.
Von Kaiser didn't play round 4 games yet.
Fairman is going to lose Feudal War (judging from the chat, he doesn't know about the decision that winning streaks consider "game number" and not "start/finish date")
Greeley Crow has 1 round 4 win but is in a tough position on his Montreal game.
Stickse is playing only 1 round 4 game so far. It looks tied.
Briggs1209 has lost 2 round 4 games. He should be able to win WWII Europe and advance.

If none can win 3 games, then I assume several 8-1 club members can sweep their way back into the GA medal competition?

by **Tviorr** on Tue Apr 05, 2011 4:18 pm

well supposing at least 25 rounds, Im guessing that you need at least 70 wins to climb to the top of the heap, so it may be a little premature to celebrate just yet. For streaks, however, I think 12-14 in a row, whatever the current streakers... end up at will be very hard to beat. By no means impossible, of course, and I will of course try along with you and every other punter in here. If I was a betting man Id lay money on who-ever manages to come out on top of the intial streakers. (yes, pun intended).

Maybe Monkey will start a book on the streakers though. think I may already be sun on some of the over/under stuff, so im badly in need on some further weird gambling ;-)

by **Frued1** on Tue Apr 05, 2011 7:01 pm

Assuming at least 25 rounds? I think we started with 2500 people? with single elimination, eliminating half the field each round we would have:

RD players
1 2500
2 1250
3 625
4 313
5 157
6 79
7 39
8 19
9 9
10 4
11 2
12 1

So the 11th round would be the finals. With the current format, if there are still 1400 freemium players in Rd 4, then I would hazard a guess of 2000 total players left? To eliminate 1/5 every 3 rounds, this will last maybe

1 2500
4 2000
7 1600
10 1280
13 1024
16 819
19 655
22 524
25 419
28 335
31 268

and so on lol--31 rounds, if someone plays 3 games per round, that's 93 games with 93 potential wins and 268 players left in the tourney......I think there's a lot of room to work with, or else those 6 undefeated people with 9-0 records coming into Rd 4 are going to be facing a TON of pressure

by **mphil** on Tue Apr 05, 2011 11:12 pm

europeans are nice.

by **mphil** on Tue Apr 05, 2011 11:15 pm

The mole sucks eggs

by **triplea11** on Wed Apr 06, 2011 12:51 am

if this current rate of elimination continues 44% eliminated every three rounds then
going into round
7 =784 players left
10=439
13=246
16=138
19=77
22=43
25=24
28=13
31=7
34=4
37=2

by **josko.ri** on Wed Apr 06, 2011 4:15 am

triplea11 wrote:if this current rate of elimination continues 44% eliminated every three rounds then
going into round
7 =784 players left
10=439
13=246
16=138
19=77
22=43
25=24
28=13
31=7
34=4
37=2

players in earlier rounds are most easier to be eliminated because someones joined more than 3 games,someones lost wish to play so just stopped joining etc. in later rounds that situations will not happen so you canot count that every 3 rounds will be eliminated 44% of players. it will be less than 44%.