Talk about all things related to Conquer Club
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The1exile
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by The1exile » Fri Jun 22, 2007 12:40 pm
What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?
Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.
gethine
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by gethine » Fri Jun 22, 2007 3:17 pm
some days it seems about 50:50
nyg5680
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by nyg5680 » Fri Jun 22, 2007 3:49 pm
and if u must shoot something shoot a can or yourself in the foot
J-Duds
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by J-Duds » Fri Jun 22, 2007 4:25 pm
I'm not sure what the odds are, but we seem to have the same luck. I've had 3 turns in a game and took out only 1 enemy army while using up every single attack I could make. Luckily its a triples game and not a terminator.
nyg5680
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by nyg5680 » Fri Jun 22, 2007 5:13 pm
dont take any more turns 2day
Cronus
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by Cronus » Sat Jun 23, 2007 8:53 am
The1exile wrote: What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?
Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.
against 2 dice, it is 0.002143511142263743, or about one fifth of one percent
Edit: whoops that number is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, square that number and you will get the probability os losing 20 men in a row or 10 rolls in a row
Last edited by
Cronus on Sat Jun 23, 2007 12:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
chessplaya
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by chessplaya » Sat Jun 23, 2007 9:47 am
Cronus wrote: The1exile wrote: What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?
Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.
against 2 dice, it is 0.002143511142263743, or about one fifth of one percent
ur avvy is so cool
i am quoting because its funny to quote ppl
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ClessAlvein
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by ClessAlvein » Sat Jun 23, 2007 10:01 am
Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.
Cronus
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by Cronus » Sat Jun 23, 2007 12:15 pm
ClessAlvein wrote: Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.
whoops you are correct, mine is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, if you square my answer, you get yours
I get a probability of 0.000004594640017008817. which is 0.0004594640017008817%
Cronus
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by Cronus » Sat Jun 23, 2007 12:21 pm
chessplaya wrote: Cronus wrote: The1exile wrote: What are the odds of losing 10 rolls in a row?
Seriously, if it happens again I'm going to shoot something.
against 2 dice, it is 0.002143511142263743, or about one fifth of one percent
ur avvy is so cool
i am quoting because its funny to quote ppl
do you like bunnies with pancakes on their heads?
RobinJ
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by RobinJ » Sat Jun 23, 2007 12:21 pm
Cronus wrote: ClessAlvein wrote: Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.
whoops you are correct, mine is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, if you square my answer, you get yours
I get a probability of 0.000004594640017008817. which is 0.0004594640017008817%
Yes I believe that is right, although my calculator differs very slightly. You are using the Dice Analyzer figures I presume?
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Cronus
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by Cronus » Sat Jun 23, 2007 12:22 pm
RobinJ wrote: Cronus wrote: ClessAlvein wrote: Losing 10 3v2's in a row is actually 0.00046%. I'm not sure why Cronus' figure is so high.
whoops you are correct, mine is losing 10 men instead of 10 rolls, if you square my answer, you get yours
I get a probability of 0.000004594640017008817. which is 0.0004594640017008817%
Yes I believe that is right, although my calculator differs very slightly. You are using the Dice Analyzer figures I presume?
I am using a website
http://www.recreationalmath.com/risk/riskprob.htm
The1exile
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by The1exile » Sun Jun 24, 2007 6:04 am
OK, so I'm not likely to get it again for another few months, thanks for the answers.