What are the odds of defeating 8 single army territories and a 3, if i attack with 16?
A simple answer would be helpful, but an explanation of the work would be nice. thnx
odds help
Moderator: Community Team
Forum rules
Please read the community guidelines before posting.
Please read the community guidelines before posting.
-
BaldAdonis
- Posts: 2334
- Joined: Fri Aug 24, 2007 1:57 am
- Location: Trapped in Pleasantville with Toby McGuire
Re: odds help
Explanation: you need to calculate the odds of doing it in any number of win/loss/draw combinations (ie. win every roll; or win the first roll, lose the next, win the rest; etc).
Fortunately a very nice website has already put up a program to do the work for you: http://gamesbyemail.com/Games/Gambit/BattleOdds Looks like the odds are 44% if you attack the 3 last, and 50% if you attack it first, or anytime in the middle.
*edit* The reason for the big difference is that it's a lot easier to kill a single army at the end, because you're likely to be running out of your own armies, and rolls like 2 dice against 1 or 1 against 1 are a whole lot better than 2 or 1 against 2.
Fortunately a very nice website has already put up a program to do the work for you: http://gamesbyemail.com/Games/Gambit/BattleOdds Looks like the odds are 44% if you attack the 3 last, and 50% if you attack it first, or anytime in the middle.
*edit* The reason for the big difference is that it's a lot easier to kill a single army at the end, because you're likely to be running out of your own armies, and rolls like 2 dice against 1 or 1 against 1 are a whole lot better than 2 or 1 against 2.
Re: odds help
thank you for the quick response. good link.