Sierra_Leon wrote:I've been thinking about all the identity crisis people claiming their former and current roles in order to figure out which of them is now scum, but there are some downsides. 1) We might be asking the miller's daugher to claim, if she was part of the mixup too. If rumpelstiltskin is still after her, that would not be a good idea. 2) Animorph was part of the identity crisis but he's dead now. It might not be possible to solve this logically without knowing if his role had changed too.
So, it might be better not to focus too much on figuring out who switched into what role exactly and look at what other leads we have. Here are some contradictions:
1)
mr. incrediball claims to have been Frau Trude
ga7 claims to have been Frau Trude
2)
Flores claims that nobody visited ga7 night 3
nagerous claims that he tracked ga7 to animorph night 3
ga7 claims to have tried killing someone night 3 but failed; it was not animorph
3)
Iliad claims that he investigated Ficoal night 3 and got that he was a believer
MountainLion claims to have tracked Mandy switching Fircoal and Selin
This means Iliad was actually investigating Selin and got that he was a believer
Minister Masket claims to have been told by Iliad that Iliad and Selin are on opposite sides
LSU and Selin claim Selin is a believer; Iliad claims he is a believer
Conclusions:
1) Either MIB or ga7 is lying about his previous role. I don't see how this is very important though, if they both have new roles now. Not worth lynching over today.
2) Either both ga7 and Flores are lying or nagerous is lying/got a wrong result from his track action. Again, since this is concerning ga7's role before the role switch, I don't think it's worth lynching over today.
3) Either Iliad is scum or Selin is scum. Selin was not only cleared by LSU, but even by Iliad himself. Thus, Iliad must be scum. Neither of them have been part of the role switch. Iliad should be the lynch for today.
Vote Iliad
Good analysis, but wrong conclusions
Conclusion 3 is explained now by Iliad's post. Iliad may be still a scum (cop) with a low possibility, but
more likely Iliad is a townie.
Conclusions 1 is very important, because it states that either ga7 or mr. inc. is still lying after the ball.
Only scum will lie in such a position. Based on the investigation result of MM about ga7 (with bowl of lentils) ga7 was most probably Cinderella's stepmother, unbeliever. As he claimed to be Frau Trude after the ball, he probably hoped that the real Frau Trude, an unbeliever, won't reveal himself. However Mr. Inc. posted that he was actually Frau Trude before the ball (without having the necessity to do so). That shows most likely that
ga7's claim was made up and he is still a scum. Of course there is a very low probability that Mr. Inc. may be lying, but this would have been a very stupid and poor play of Mr. Inc. without a reason to do so. That's why I believe that ga7 is still scum (he is either Frau Trude, unbeliever after his role change now or he is still Cinderella's stepmother, unbeliever).
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