by gdeangel on Sat Aug 23, 2008 12:48 am
I think there is really only one way out of this problem, and that isredistribution of wealth coupled with eradication of the notion of fundamental right to be a non-contributor to society. It's time to call a duck for what it is - a duck.
There is one central force driving America's financial crisis. I did not watch the Perot clip, but I did look at some of the slide and read some of the stuff on this site. I have to generally agree with what I think he's saying... the US's problem is government spending that exceeds the ability of the country to fund while retaining the private incentive for wealth accumulation that keeps the middle class working hard to become members of the upper-middle class. Take that away, and they become just like the equivalent of the renouned Italian broomsmen of the 20th century (I can say that, I'm Italian).
When the government sets out to borrower against its defecit, it has to borrower from foreign governments, either directly, or indirectly by soaking up private investment dollars that then forces American business to go abroad (e.g., to the sovereign wealth funds) for their capital. Once those foreigners hold dollar denominated debt, they have an incentive to prop up the dollar. An artificially strong dollar leads to trade defecits. Trade defecits lead to, ironically, more dollars in foreigners hands. (Now they have dollars and dollar denominated debt - they are in the water with both feet). And to get rid of some of that exposure to the dollar, they force the dollars back into the US by doubling down on the debt (i.e., cheap credit). So what looks like one thing - and over abundance of cheap credit driving excessive consumption - is in fact, due to not enough private capital available to fund both business growth and government deficits.
Solution = cut government budget defecit. How? You can't raise taxes, or you kill your economy and will have a serious loss of confidence in the American economy / dollar, leading to downward spiral. You can't cut spending, because there is a significant portion of the population that is underserved nearly to the point of bankrupting states with unmanageable prison populations and driving people to loot, carjack, and generally become indifferent to human life.
The answer... why not a socialist coup? The world focus on China suggests that there are certainly much worse possibilities.
My ever constant two last games seem to have no end in sight!