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Calc your win %..........

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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby ronsizzle on Tue Feb 09, 2010 4:06 pm

do me. do me. *jumping up and down*
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby AAFitz on Tue Feb 09, 2010 5:29 pm

Ok Singles
P Ex% Act%
8 12% 13% even
7 14% 8% I suck
6 17% 17% even
5 20% 16% suckish
4 25% 22% fair to suck
3 33% 41% good
2 50% 60% good

Dubs Trips Quads
P Ex% Act% P Ex% Act% P Ex% Act%
8 25% 35% good 6 50% 74% rock 6 50% 78% rock
6 33% 46% good
4 50% 71% rock

no idea how to do the expected total vs actual
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby KoolBak on Tue Feb 09, 2010 6:58 pm

Fitzy...I come up with 43.7% as your score based on averages. At 56, you are significantly above the norm ;o)
"Gypsy told my fortune...she said that nothin showed...."

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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby chiefsfan4ever on Tue Feb 09, 2010 10:52 pm

I had to have done something wrong with mine. I came up with a weighted of around 25%. With my actual around 44%. That can't be right. Someone want to check my math.
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby ronsizzle on Tue Feb 09, 2010 11:12 pm

i guess noone likes me...
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby Uncle Death on Tue Feb 09, 2010 11:21 pm

ronc8649 wrote:i guess noone likes me...


You had to guess?
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby tdans on Wed Feb 10, 2010 12:09 am

what about me???
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby natty dread on Wed Feb 10, 2010 4:34 am

ronc8649 wrote:i guess noone likes me...


I like you ronc :)

wanna go on a date? I'll buy you ice cream ;)
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby nippersean on Wed Feb 10, 2010 5:12 am

OK - I think i've got this now,

Singles
1v1 150/217 69% norm 50
3 ply 1/3 33% norm 33
4 ply 11/31 35% norm 25
5 ply 16/31 52% norm 20
6 ply 6/20 30% norm 17
7 ply 2/6 30% norm 14
8 ply 3/15 20% norm 13

Dubs 27/52 52% norm 50
Trips 11/15 73% norm 50
Quads 7/12 58% norm 50

Or have I......
Now the weighting thing - how does that work please?
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby Fruitcake on Wed Feb 10, 2010 5:33 am

nippersean wrote:OK - I think i've got this now,

Singles
1v1 150/217 69% norm 50
3 ply 1/3 33% norm 33
4 ply 11/31 35% norm 25
5 ply 16/31 52% norm 20
6 ply 6/20 30% norm 17
7 ply 2/6 30% norm 14
8 ply 3/15 20% norm 13

Dubs 27/52 52% norm 50
Trips 11/15 73% norm 50
Quads 7/12 58% norm 50

Or have I......
Now the weighting thing - how does that work please?


The weighting depends on your total number of games.

eg. You have played 217 1v1 games out of a total of 401 games. This means the weighting for that particular result is 217x100/401=52% (in summary, 52% of your total played games are 1v1). The next part is then to multiply your result (69%) by the weighting factor (52%) so the equation reads 69x52%=35.9% against an average of 50x52%=26%

Do this for all your results and you will have two sums, one is a list of the averages, the other a list of your own results. Add the two columns and you will have your weighted total against the average weighted result.
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby nippersean on Wed Feb 10, 2010 5:59 am

Great, cheers. So 58% and 43% I'm up 15! And I'm not very good at doubles, it's been an education.
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby AAFitz on Wed Feb 10, 2010 7:07 am

KoolBak wrote:Fitzy...I come up with 43.7% as your score based on averages. At 56, you are significantly above the norm ;o)


oh thx for doing that for me man. though im above the norm in 3 player and 2 player...not as much in most of the bigger games.

I wonder if chip can make this an option on game finder :D
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby Timminz on Wed Feb 10, 2010 8:17 am

2p + 4p dubs + trips + quads = 3646 games
3p + 6p dubs = 172 games
4p + 8p dubs = 268 games
5p = 161 games
6p = 661 games
7p = 182 games
8p = 169 games
total = 5259 games

expected percentage = 40.6%
actual percentage = 48%

Did I do that right?
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby laughingcavalier on Wed Feb 10, 2010 8:25 am

My turn!

DTQ (all 2 teams) 192/295 – 65%
1v1 456/735 – 62%
3p 34/72 – 47%
4p 20/48 – 42%
5p 3/8 – 38%
6p 6/24 – 25%
7p 0/2 – 0%
8p 1/14 – 7%

I make that 59.4% for me against a weighted average expecatation of 46.8%.
Up nearly 13%

:)
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby KoolBak on Wed Feb 10, 2010 11:04 am

Fun seeing these numbers. And Danny-Boy....you're a young, smart buck....figure this out as a homework assignment ....then we'll check yer werk ;o) lol

I am interested in some analysis......Robin is the one I see here that really bucks the odds the hard way by achieving her + score in 6 person singles....she is not playing chumps / newbies either, so I am impressed.

My whopping 1% over average score is less than impressive....lol. However, I only play my xigames group brothers / sisters and friends I know, all of whom I consider equals (or better). I also play pissed when rolling poorly and use autoattack too much....perhaps I should try a lil harder.....;o) Thanks for all your posts!
"Gypsy told my fortune...she said that nothin showed...."

Neil Young....Like An Inca

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riskllama wrote:Koolbak wins this thread.
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby danryan on Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:38 pm

My stats:

2p 2141/4128 or 51.9%
3p 289/897 or 32.2% (I suck at 3 player!!!)
4p 393/1457 or 27.0%
5p 212/871 or 24.3%
6p 139/727 or 19.1%
7p 47/218 or 21.6%
8p 139/1101 or 12.6%

For a net of +1.7%

Not much to brag about. :lol:
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby Chuuuuck on Wed Feb 10, 2010 2:00 pm

Someone want to check me out? No map rank right now.
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby KoolBak on Wed Feb 10, 2010 2:07 pm

you can do it the way I do with the Game Finder option....filter by type one at a time........
"Gypsy told my fortune...she said that nothin showed...."

Neil Young....Like An Inca

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riskllama wrote:Koolbak wins this thread.
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby Beckytheblondie on Wed Feb 10, 2010 2:18 pm

Chuuuuck wrote:Someone want to check me out? No map rank right now.

Games played Wins Win Percentage Expected Win percentage Factor
1v1 1412 871 0.616855524 1/2 0.1602
3 player 167 68 0.407185629 1/3 0.0126
4 player 484 175 0.361570248 1/4 0.0275
5 player 172 58 0.337209302 1/5 0.0078
6 player 493 136 0.275862069 1/6 0.0186
7 player 35 9 0.257142857 1/7 0.0011
8 player 219 35 0.159817352 1/8 0.0062
dubs (2 teams 627 388 0.618819777 1/2 0.0711
dubs (3 teams) 101 53 0.524752475 1/3 0.0076
dubs (4 teams) 12 2 0.166666667 1/4 0.0007
trips 497 356 0.716297787 1/2 0.0564
quads 189 133 0.703703704 1/2 0.0214
4408 2284 0.51814882 0.3913

You should have won 39.13% of your games Chucky, but you're just too goddamn good. You've won 51.8% of them...
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby Fruitcake on Wed Feb 10, 2010 2:28 pm

I have made an easy ready reckoner on a spreadsheet for any one that wants it.

I have checked the tally against my own (hand worked) figures and they are correct. So if you want me to send it to you, PM me with your email addy and I'll post it across.

I have made it easy, so all you have to do is plug in your numbers and it will tell you how you are doing!
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby natty dread on Wed Feb 10, 2010 3:07 pm

Can someone do me? Don't have maprank either.
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby Beckytheblondie on Wed Feb 10, 2010 3:28 pm

natty_dread wrote:Can someone do me? Don't have maprank either.

Stunna [Howard] will do you. He seemingly does everyone [but me].
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby #1_stunna on Wed Feb 10, 2010 3:37 pm

Beckytheblondie wrote:
natty_dread wrote:Can someone do me? Don't have maprank either.

Stunna [Howard] will do you. He seemingly does everyone [but me].


Har Ha Har!!

Now see if you EVER get any.
12:17:31 ‹Pixar› im gonna be fappin to that all night long
10:59:12 ‹rhp 1› holy hell... that did it.. I pissed myself
15:15:52 ‹Ace Rimmer› Sackett58, I think I may get some action this weekend
15:16:05 ‹Sackett58› Right hand or left Ace?
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby natty dread on Wed Feb 10, 2010 3:45 pm

Beckytheblondie wrote:
natty_dread wrote:Can someone do me? Don't have maprank either.

Stunna [Howard] will do you. He seemingly does everyone [but me].


Uuh... I don't know, I've never done it with a rubber duck. Does it hurt?
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Re: Calc your win %..........

Postby sherkaner on Wed Feb 10, 2010 4:29 pm

37,0% against 51.4% currently.. I like this way of calculating :)
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