HA's 200th Tourney (Josko.ri Wins)

by **HighlanderAttack** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 5:38 pm

No matter what--we are all having some fun with this tourney now aren't we

by **zeractal** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 6:15 pm

to clarify why regardless of when you guess you should have exactly a 2 in 300 chance of winning i will give a very vague impression of the princible.

1st person odds of winning are 2/300 (so a 298/300 chance of not winning)
2nd person chance of winning are (2/298) * (298/300) (chance of them winning and 1st not winning)
3rd person chance of winning are (2/296) * (296/298) *(298/300) (chance of them winning and 2nd not and 1st not)
4th person chance is (2/294) * (294/296) * (296/298) * (298/300)
as you can see all the numerators and denominators cancel except 2 (in numerator) and 300 (in denominator),
this will keep happenening untill 151st peron has (2/0 chance which doesn't exist) as all numbers will have been used up.
note it is probably possible to prove that it is true for remaining using proof by induction but not worth the hassle.

by **Frued1** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 6:34 pm

In other words, the contest is good as it stands

by **hondacbr** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 7:09 pm

Well, I don't know how to make you guys understand this but you have to trust me with my math.
Here is a little background on me-please read carefully:

I graduated at the top of my class in high school, specifically getting 100% in Math from grade 1 to 12 and was picked to join the Hong Kong national math team to compete internationally after I finished first in Hong Kong.
In July 2010 during the International Mathematics Olympiad (IMO) in Germany, I LED my team to win the gold medal and simultaneously I was participating in the Physics and chemistry World Olympiads too because there was no one else that could fill those two spots in the other teams. I don't mean to sound arrogant but I AM REALLY GOOD! Believe me when I say this. I got a scholarship to Harvard and I am pursuing my PhD in number theory, and my ground breaking probability theory was printed in the Harvard Peer Reviewed math journal and is said to be turning the math world upside down! If you want to see a list of my medals and achievements please go to the following link: http://www.iamtotallybsing.com

So all joking aside, thanks to everyone for pointing the error in my logic and for setting the record straight.
As for drunkmonkey who posted on my wall claiming that I was talking down to him, threatened me not to do it again and then foed me so that I couldn't respond to him, I want to say that I wasn't talking down to you but simply pointing out that your post did not make sense to me, that's it. But as for talking down to you, I can do it whenever I want: (removed out of respect for HA's request)

by **SupremeRebel** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 7:22 pm

number guess 44 or 66

by **poptartpsycho18** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 7:45 pm

I guess 18 & 200 (not sure if 200 was guessed yet...but I stand by it, lol)

by **HighlanderAttack** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 7:48 pm

No flaming or baiting in this thread will be tolerated. We all have opinions.

If you can't keep it clean you will be tossed from this tourney and reported.

Anyone with negative comments can pm the other individuals rather than posting in this tourney thread which many many people read.

by **HighlanderAttack** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 7:54 pm

ok--It has been almost 24 hours or maybe it has been 24 hours --I want to fill this bounty--You have one more hour to pick and then this contest will change--at 9pm my time I will give a smaller range and everyone will be allowed to pick on

by **austin00** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 8:46 pm

58 is the number!

by **austin00** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 8:58 pm

or maybe 57!

by **sundance123** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 9:17 pm

poptartpsycho18 wrote:I guess 18 & 200 (not sure if 200 was guessed yet...but I stand by it, lol)

it was. by me. Get your own numbers!

by **gradybridges** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 9:29 pm

by **ImperialDragon** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 9:46 pm

Will the number be new, Ha?

Also, most people repeat numbers like 30 guesses in. I just tracked all of them. I am a sad panda ;_;

by **king15** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 10:39 pm

HighlanderAttack wrote:[quote=I just like the idea of resetting the game to start over so that the active players on the thread get another chance

I agree it's a good idea!

I'm having a LOT of fun with this tourney!!

Thanks for hosting it!

by **HighlanderAttack** on Fri Mar 11, 2011 11:14 pm

Since I fell asleep minutes before 9pm I will make it 9pm tomorrow night. Sorry--I will keep the 1-300 same game going until tomorrow night. If no winner by then I will reset.

by **Z_Grade** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 1:20 am

Well, I'm insane enough to go and collect a list of all the numbers guessed so far, and how many have been repeated. So far there have been ~127 original guesses. Many repeats. 200 has been guessed 4 times

My guesses are:
150
151

Both original at that.

by **ZionT** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 1:28 am

162, 286

by **Rodion** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 1:31 am

Z_Grade wrote:Well, I'm insane enough to go and collect a list of all the numbers guessed so far, and how many have been repeated. So far there have been ~127 original guesses. Many repeats. 200 has been guessed 4 times

My guesses are:
150
151

Both original at that.

Good! It'd have been extremely stupid to check all numbers guessed just to repeat them! :lol:

by **dawg1** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 2:44 am

Is there any awards for quickest finish? I won a game on the 7th turn/round. Game:8655265

by **Liliputanac** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 3:22 am

68,82 ... really don't want to check if someone else put this numbers

by **ImperialDragon** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 3:38 am

HighlanderAttack wrote:Since I fell asleep minutes before 9pm I will make it 9pm tomorrow night. Sorry--I will keep the 1-300 same game going until tomorrow night. If no winner by then I will reset.

I fell asleep waiting for you

Such is life.

You'regood, liliputanac. First one to guess those numbers.

by **AslanTheKing** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 3:47 am

I guess
4 and 9

by **Frued1** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 6:33 am

dawg1 wrote:Is there any awards for quickest finish? I won a game on the 7th turn/round. Game:8655265

That's quick, but I won 2 games in round 5, lost one in round 6 (means someone else won) and beat HA for bounty in round 7. Lets see if anyone can do it by turn 4

*EDIT

Hmmmm--I'm not going to go through all 75 pages of finished games in this tourney, but on the first page, there are 2 games finished on turn 4. Maybe someone didn't show up, I didn't check, but it would be interesting to see even if there isn't a medal or prize just exactly who had the quickest game...either total time start to finish, or fewest turns....

by **Jiro-Taro** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 7:05 am

8-1 for me in Arms Race!, I pass this round...

by **Chariot of Fire** on Sat Mar 12, 2011 7:27 am

ImperialDragon wrote:
HighlanderAttack wrote:Since I fell asleep minutes before 9pm I will make it 9pm tomorrow night. Sorry--I will keep the 1-300 same game going until tomorrow night. If no winner by then I will reset.

I fell asleep waiting for you
Such is life.

You'regood, liliputanac. First one to guess those numbers.

I fell asleep scrolling through 5 pages of numbers between 1 and 300 looking for any info pertinent to the tourney