ZaBeast wrote:Pika, where are you getting this number from, and are you advocating for lynching the other claimed VTs on that basis if whoever gets lynched today is truthful about his role?
If everybody else who claimed told the truth then there are two scum in that group of four, so even if both Town in that group are VTs it's still 50%. If there's a Town Power Role in there it's 25%, etc.
This is why I wanted to know other people's opinions on those who claimed early. My votes on them gained no traction, so either people are so sure that they're telling the truth that I may as well take their status as confirmed (in which case you get the group of four analysis) or we're stuck in a situation where perhaps half the players should to be lynched on policy. Due to the obvious impracticality of this (and the fact that it's unlikely all of the Mafia are in the Policy Lynch group), we have very little to go on following that path.
Ragian wrote:I've only ever played with a lynchee being town... I wasn't aware that that could alter.
I'm not going to vote Pika. Strike is the only other option. I have no solid read on him. If we don't lynch, we'll end up the same place tomorrow, I guess. If we lynch him and he flips town, what do we do tomorrow? Maybe that's the question I want answered from the people advocating a strike lynch.
Depends on who dies (if any) tonight. I expect a lot of WIFOM discussion tomorrow if somebody dies, but discussing it in depth now would likely influence who is chosen for the kill and I'm not sure if that would be advantageous. If nobody dies then the plan should be to lynch from you, ZaBeast, and blacky365 as two of these should be Mafia (if we stick with the truthful claimants idea).