There are several problems with Tzor's quote of HIS source:
1) The entire island of Key West does not need to be inundated by sea water to cause problem. There are only a few people and buildings at the 18' level, so problems will start well before the complete flooding in 3747.
2) Tzor's calculation (I assume it is correct) assumes constant rise. He forgets that water has a maximum density at 4 degrees Celsius, so as the oceans warm, this will not hold at a constant linear rate of 1/8 inch.
3) Tzor cherry picks a quote from his source BUT ignores its major conclusion: the rising sea level is due to Man's activity (use of fossil fuel). Here is the entire quote, and I will enlarge the point I am making here:
Global sea level has been rising over the past century, and the rate has increased in recent decades. In 2014, global sea level was 2.6 inches above the 1993 average—the highest annual average in the satellite record (1993-present). Sea level continues to rise at a rate of about one-eighth of an inch per year.
Higher sea levels mean that deadly and destructive storm surges push farther inland than they once did, which also means more frequent nuisance flooding. Disruptive and expensive, nuisance flooding is estimated to be from 300 percent to 900 percent more frequent within U.S. coastal communities than it was just 50 years ago.
The two major causes of global sea level rise are thermal expansion caused by warming of the ocean (since water expands as it warms) and increased melting of land-based ice, such as glaciers and ice sheets. The oceans are absorbing more than 90 percent of the increased atmospheric heat associated with emissions from human activity.
With continued ocean and atmospheric warming, sea levels will likely rise for many centuries at rates higher than that of the current century. In the United States, almost 40 percent of the population lives in relatively high-population-density coastal areas, where sea level plays a role in flooding, shoreline erosion, and hazards from storms. Globally, eight of the world's 10 largest cities are near a coast, according to the U.N. Atlas of the Oceans.
Tzor uses his source to try to trivialize the danger of rising sea levels, but he ignores the major problems HIS SOURCE cites.
Clearly rising sea levels will cause huge disruptions in the next few decades or even years. The ENTIRE earth will not flood in only 10 years, as he apparently alleges. I will pick one area I am familiar with, living near and visiting the Norfolk/Virginia Beach area, near my home of Richmond
4)
The selected sea level scenario points to a 100% risk of at least one flood over 6 ft taking place between today and 2050 in the Norfolk area.
Same source, BUT I have already cited reasons for this occurrence:
Warming oceans and melting glaciers and ice sheets are raising global sea levels.
https://riskfinder.climatecentral.org/place/norfolk.va.us?comparisonType=place&forecastName=Basic&forecastType=NOAA2017_extreme_p50&level=6&unit=ft5) There are other consequences of rising sea levels that are disruptive, at best, and can be extremely harmful for human life, including strong storm surge causing more damage inland during storms such as hurricanes and winter nor'easters. Much of the damage of recent hurricanes was caused by storm surge and not always from very high winds.
More information and links:
from sea level rise
https://www.americangeosciences.org/critical-issues/maps/interactive-map-coastal-flooding-impacts-sea-level-riseSea Level Rise Viewer
NOAA Office for Coastal Management
Overview
Use this web mapping tool to visualize community-level impacts from coastal flooding or sea level rise (up to 10 feet above average high tides). Photo simulations of how future flooding might impact local landmarks are also provided, as well as data related to water depth, connectivity, flood frequency, socio-economic vulnerability, wetland loss and migration, and mapping confidence.
https://coast.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/slr.htmlPoor and incomplete data and evidence leads to poor conclusions. The omelet made from rotten eggs is a bad omelet that is inedible. Hence the issue is definitely an issue and Tzor incorrectly concludes that it is a non-issue.
JP4Fun
tzor wrote:Can we get back to the topic?
NOAA Web PageGlobal sea level has been rising over the past century, and the rate has increased in recent decades. In 2014, global sea level was 2.6 inches above the 1993 average—the highest annual average in the satellite record (1993-present). Sea level continues to rise at a rate of about one-eighth of an inch per year.
Let's see ... 1/8" per year means
One foot every 96 years ...
Key West's max height is 18' meaning that it will be completely submerged under water in A.D. 3747.
But we only have 10 years anyway, right?
So this is a non issue.