Conquer Club

HA's 200th Tourney (Josko.ri Wins)

Tournaments Completed in 2014.

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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Round 8 Saturday 23rd)

Postby General Roy on Tue Aug 23, 2011 4:08 am

Does it matter that this will go on for some time?
I've just finished round 9, in just a couple of days, so each round is fast.

But of course, if it drags on too long, it would be possible to base more rounds on random maps. That way those who are more alround would get the edge, I think.
I do prefer the current setup, though.
Roy
knubbel wrote:
knubbel wrote:Some stats:
Players
round1: 2507
round2: 2057 -> 82% of round1
round3: 1687 -> 82% of round2
round4: 1398 -> 83% of round3
round5: 1147 -> 82% of round4
round6: 932 -> 81% of round5
round7: 776 -> 83% of round6

so about 82% advancing each round.
if we continue like that the winner will be found in round x:
2507*0,82^(x-1)=1
x=ln(1/2507)/ln(0,82)+1= 40,43

We already played 7 rounds, so we just have to play more or less 33 rounds to find the winner ;)


round8: 642 -> 82,73% of round7
round9: 543 -> 84,58% of round8

so maybe a few more rounds?
Last edited by General Roy on Tue Aug 23, 2011 4:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9)

Postby General Roy on Tue Aug 23, 2011 4:10 am

Finished my 3 games:
Game 9618491 a win
Game 9618617 a loss
Game 9617332 a win

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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Round 8 Saturday 23rd)

Postby knubbel on Tue Aug 23, 2011 5:44 am

General Roy wrote:Does it matter that this will go on for some time?
I've just finished round 9, in just a couple of days, so each round is fast.

But of course, if it drags on too long, it would be possible to base more rounds on random maps. That way those who are more alround would get the edge, I think.
I do prefer the current setup, though.
Roy


No it doesn't matter. I just like statistics. Random maps won't do anything.
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Round 8 Saturday 23rd)

Postby General Roy on Tue Aug 23, 2011 6:58 am

knubbel wrote:Random maps won't do anything.


I'm afraid that it would for me. Now I can stay away from maps I'm terrible on.

Roy
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby wtw on Tue Aug 23, 2011 8:20 am

wtw finihed 3 games:
9618337 = win
9618686 = win
9618994 = loss

Thanks.
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby Senseless on Tue Aug 23, 2011 11:16 am

I'm through to round 10

Game 9617329
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby Tviorr on Tue Aug 23, 2011 4:52 pm

As the number of people dwindle, the percentage may actually start dropping some as the people playing only as many games as it takes them to win one will likely be a comparatively larger fraction of the total number of games. Also, the rounds are becoming faster, so it will be harder to get in a full three games, if you are freemium and only reserve one slot for the tourney or for that matter use up the 4 slots between rounds and time one or two games to likely finish for the beginning of the next round.

I wouldnt be surprised if later rounds at least occasionally had below 80 % advancing.
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby Didacus on Tue Aug 23, 2011 7:06 pm

Boo-Yaa!!!!
Off to round 10 for me!

Game 9617529
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby ElricTheGreat on Tue Aug 23, 2011 7:09 pm

Game 9618333 Round 5 --- count me in !!
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby rom_tobins on Tue Aug 23, 2011 10:36 pm

Lets say 100 people played games. 50% win and advance. the other 50% battle it out so another 25% advance. then the last 25% battle it out and 12.5% advance. Witch gives a 87.5% advance.

Though that's only if everyone stopped playing a round after they won, obviously you can win and then go an lose against someone and help them advance, or win all your games an help knock players out.
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby dcampeau on Wed Aug 24, 2011 9:30 am

Win, on to round 10!
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby luckywar on Wed Aug 24, 2011 12:14 pm

Round 9 win, advance to 10:
Game 9617443
Top Score:2896 5.13.08
Highest Place: 48
Title: Top Terminator (Won LB’s Terminator Tourney)
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby laughingcavalier on Wed Aug 24, 2011 2:31 pm

So there's a prediction of a round 43 finish.
Eeek.
How about trying a sudden death round? Win 1 game from 2 to advance.
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby drunkmonkey on Wed Aug 24, 2011 2:36 pm

HA said from the beginning this would be a very long tourney. There's no reason to change anything.
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby triplea11 on Wed Aug 24, 2011 2:40 pm

hey do we need to post if we are advancing still if so
im goin on to rd 10 with game 9617467
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby VicFontaine on Wed Aug 24, 2011 3:46 pm

Game 9619130 --> Win for VicFontaine
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby OliverFA on Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:29 pm

Won Game 9618578

Made to Round 10! :D
Welcoming the long awaited Trench Warfare Setting (Previously Adjacent Attacks).

My Maps:
Research and Conquer - Civilization meets Conquer Club

Best score: 2,346 - Best position: #618 - Best percentile: 4.87%
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby jimfinn on Wed Aug 24, 2011 5:49 pm

Game 9617501 2 wins and through
Jimfinn is looking for regular doubles/triples/quads partners. Please contact him if you are interested!
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby waiting4oct on Wed Aug 24, 2011 10:58 pm

and through to Round 10. Game 9619012
High Tide: MAJ 2401
Recent Milestone: 900 games completed (443 victories [49.2%])
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby Madstuthe1st on Thu Aug 25, 2011 3:44 am

Made it through with a win in my last game :) 9618376
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby ddgrimes on Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:01 am

I have advanced

9618936
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby agentcom on Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:47 am

triplea11 wrote:hey do we need to post if we are advancing still if so
im goin on to rd 10 with game 9617467


No. You never have had to post this info. There was a brief period in the last round where HA thought it was necessary, but it turned out not to be.

On a related note, certainly thanks to all you who think you need to post that you've advanced, this thread is now the most replied to tournament thread of all time. And we're less than a quarter of the way through the tourney according to the estimates! Another record for the largest tourney in CC history. Go us!

It also has the greatest number of views, but that's been the case for a while.
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby drunkmonkey on Thu Aug 25, 2011 1:26 pm

agentcom wrote:It also has the greatest number of views, but that's been the case for a while.


Probably due to all of us who check it for updates, only to see yet another "I WINNED A GAME" post. :roll:
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby L M S on Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:21 pm

Game 9618780

Round 11 win.
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Re: HA's 200th Tourney (Rd 9 starts 8/21)

Postby Dukasaur on Thu Aug 25, 2011 8:18 pm

I've won my game for this round.


Game 9618850
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