I was gonna post yesterday but something came up. I apologise for not posting much this game day. Honestly I'm not really enjoying the game, a shitload of posts are being spent discussion absolutely nothing or nothing of value and I have to wade through the shit to get to serious discussion which just isn't really there. I'm not trying to insult anyone, this is just what happens in nonstandard games with a large amount of newish players. It just really demotivates me to post because I know that (a) it's mostly gonna be ignored and (b) the talk will derail after three posts again and we're back to five pages of nonsense.
1 blacky365
Getting a scummier read on this guy as the day drags on. He's the second vote on Dakky which throws me off, but that could just be noise. He also says he didn't target Ragian N1, but says he was poisoned anyway. Tob was busy redirecting Mets by his own claim earlier, but blacky and Ragian said something about bumping into each other.
Most of what's coming out of his mouth is random speculation.
2 dakky21
Claims commuter with an investigative role tied on, but refuses to use that because he doesn't wanna die...
Let's put on our tin foil hats for a moment and assume Dakky is scum. Why would he claim this? My suspicion is that he has a scum role that's immune to either some or all night actions. Godfather comes to mind, that scum role is often given immunity to night kills and investigation. He claims it because he wants to preempt an investigator or vigilante targeting him and coming up empty, which could arouse suspicion.
Now let's take off our hats and assume Dakky is telling the truth. Why would he claim this? I haven't the faintest idea. He says he doesn't want to waste town actions, but a vig shot towards him wouldn't kill a townie. An investigation towards him would yield no result but he'd be able to use the second part of his role to both prove his other ability and allow himself to be seen by an investigator. Any scum players would know he is probably telling the truth (since he is not on their team) and therefore would never waste their actions on a claimed commuter, so a "wasted" doc action on the commuter wouldn't matter if scum didn't know he was a commuter. So by claiming his role he has defeated the purpose of his role. I prefer to think people are scummy rather than stupid, especially people who have played mafia a lot like Dakky. Vote stays and we should lynch him.
It also surprises me that our resident marine biologist hasn't piped up about his claim. A two second google search will tell you that stingrays are related to sharks.
3 Tobikera
Claims town redirector. Firstly, this doesn't strike me as a town role, I believe I already mentioned that before.
4 jfm10
Still isn't listed as dead in the OP, Raz.
5 strike wolf
Claims to be the town doc, hasn't been counterclaimed. I think it's reasonably safe to assume Strike isn't scum.
6 ZaBeast
Need to look deeper into his posts to get a good read. I didn't do these in order, and I really need to get this post out before Raz shuts me up.
7 Skoffin
I think Skoff is suffering from the same problems I am. Based on that I should read her as town. There's just something nagging me, her play is very erratic. She's driving very aggressive wagons on people but doesn't really post a lot. Her counterclaim was pretty clumsy and piecemeal imo. Also happy to lynch Pika if we lynch Dakky (the person she counterclaimed) the next day, which is scummy imo.
8 Pikanchion
Plays the game very similarly to Mets. Skoffin mentioned earlier that he avoids giving actual reasons, I don't think that's entirely true but he seems to avoid voting. I'll have to look back and read all of his posts to get a good idea of what Skoffin is referring to, I had the impression he was contributing rather well to the debate.
9 BuJaber
I already said before I have a strong town read on BuJ. Someone asked why, I think I should explain slightly. I used a night action that gave me very conclusive evidence that BuJ is town. I'm not gonna claim my role or what information I received, but if I die during the night you should all know that BuJ is town.
10 chapcrap
My suspicion of him has significantly decreased over the past week, because there are far scummier people to talk about.
11 TX AG 90
Correct me if I'm wrong, but TX and Sirius are both the most active peddlers of crackpot setup theories whilst touting their own noobishness as an excuse, right?
12 Ragian
Passive poisoner "Town Psychopath" claim. I don't know what to do with this one. We all know he's the poisoner now so he can't really do much harm in that way. I think we will have to lynch him at some point before LyLo because the odds of third party are just dangerous. It also wouldn't surprise me if he turned into some sort of predator if he found his food. Not a priority right now though. His sudden attack on Pika after his OMGUS vote is quite scummy imo, the day is ending and he's suddenly scrounging for reasons to lynch Pika.
13 pershy - LYNCHED Day 1
14 aage
15 Sirius Kase
Correct me if I'm wrong, but TX and Sirius are both the most active peddlers of crackpot setup theories whilst touting their own noobishness as an excuse, right?
Sirius is the biggest offender in that last category, it's great and all when people want to learn but playing the game would be better.
16 Metsfanmax
Very eloquent in his own defense. He still has managed to stay alive without claiming, nicely done. What I take away most from his posts is that he tries to establish himself very much as a town authority but doesn't drive anything. He has commented that he believes the Dakky wagon is a mislynch, but isn't offering much in the way of alternatives other than his No Lynch vote. I've no idea why he thinks that night actions are going to be helpful.
He's not contributing anything meaningful to the discussion and is scummy in his own right. I will leave the decision on whether he should be killed in Strike's capable hands.
Let's look at who is actually on the Dakky wagon.
BuJ, Blacky, aage, Sirius, Skoffin, SW, chap
I have doubts about chap and Skoffin to some extent, but I think this is for the most part a town-driven wagon. BuJ instigated it very early in the day and its traction has been very slow going. I consider this a good sign. No opportunistic scum latching on early to drive an easy mislynch means this likely isn't a mislynch. Most significantly, Ragian, Tobi and Mets aren't on this wagon, all three of which have been pegged as scummy.
If Dakky does flip town, maybe the scum are worried about BuJ or my town cred and therefore don't jump on, but I believe if he was town this day wouldn't have gone to deadline, he would've been piled on.
24 hours before the deadline, however, Ragian in his undying OMGUS-wisdom decides that Pika (who has no votes on him) is the way to go now and actively tries to peel votes off the Dakky wagon to go for Pika. TX is quick to join on Pika. Dakky's flip will be very useful indeed.
Might post more if the mod hasn't ended the day yet.